Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890a6ef0a6a2a34f682e1d5e2487d8d2f49e3a64cef34f6adca2c4e358b83810

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $950,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $882,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,565 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 802 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xacbc…7cc3backed No	5c	71,963$3,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,420.13	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9620…bc27backed No	1c	36,655$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	43c	32,778$14,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,007.32	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	29c	16,211$4,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,450.46	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	17c	15,048$2,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,514.3	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	33c	13,379$4,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,010.44	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	9,820$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,660.23	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	32c	9,654$3,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,564.65	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	29c	8,392$2,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,964.22	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…daf3backed No	0c	8,248$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+7.9wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+66.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3a1…ebcabacked Yes	36c	6,938$2,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,444.77	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	31c	6,857$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,731.69	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8907…d8e6backed No	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	37c	5,633$2,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,568.34	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	25c	5,351$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,019.58	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	40c	5,304$2,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,191.57	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes	61c	5,247$3,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.45	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	5c	5,238$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,998.45	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	35c	4,971$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,213.06	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	17c	4,811$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,012.02	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4616…a910backed No	1c	4,359$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	336	70.2%236 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	41c	4,357$1,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,577.39	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	31c	4,339$1,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,992.18	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	54c	4,175$2,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,935.79	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a10…d1b2backed Yes	43c	3,976$1,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,283.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+134.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0472…fc04backed Yes	33c	3,808$1,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,559.09	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	41c	3,781$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,240.17	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	40c	3,480$1,402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,077.84	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	40c	3,409$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.92	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	3,305$2,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,374	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd576…cb24backed Yes	16c	3,200$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,687.97	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…924ebacked No	70c	3,158$2,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,201.45	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	65c	3,140$2,055 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085.72	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	34c	3,140$1,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.07	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab9…b809backed Yes	58c	3,079$1,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,304.95	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked No	2c	2,975$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.45	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	16c	2,966$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,487.12	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0759…a93dbacked Yes	39c	2,815$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,717.4	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	52c	2,673$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,290.5	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	41c	2,665$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.59	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	44c	2,626$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,482.91	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Yes	36c	2,549$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.83	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	67c	2,543$1,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.35	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	28c	2,500$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,809	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	21c	2,445$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,931.58	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	24c	2,436$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,847.96	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	32c	2,417$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,637.86	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…cd11backed Yes	32c	2,389$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,626.58	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75f…5b1ebacked No	68c	2,387$1,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,625.77	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	30c	2,237$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,558.15	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	48c	2,186$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,143.26	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13f…1e76backed Yes	17c	2,045$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,692.65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked No	4c	2,018$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.54	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	23c	1,974$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.33	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a5…21dfbacked Yes	50c	1,956$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$986.9	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…07febacked Yes	52c	1,895$989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$906.17	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	25c	1,886$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.09	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	29c	1,867$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320.8	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b3…6de9backed Yes	44c	1,865$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.22	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	28cpaid	+84%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	59c	1,761$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.85	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	22c	1,760$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.21	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	52c	1,749$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.84	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	38c	1,711$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.16	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	67c	1,701$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138.85	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeb3…56f3backed Yes	28c	1,657$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.51	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	53c	1,652$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.44	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5b1…4e80backed Yes	34c	1,646$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,078.58	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68fc…55d3backed Yes	36c	1,613$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.53	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	22c	1,590$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,235.37	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3c…1f3ebacked Yes	66c	1,589$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.62	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	6c	1,581$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.91	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd75c…cbd4backed No	78c	1,568$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.56	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	36c	1,554$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$994.01	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…0cc2backed Yes	30c	1,550$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,085	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+157.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	73c	1,500$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.97	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	29c	1,470$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.29	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	56c	1,417$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$619.33	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	48c	1,302$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.44	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x731a…9062backed Yes	52c	1,300$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a9e…2e40backed Yes	51c	1,287$653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	35c	1,262$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.49	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	5c	1,250$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.56	252	11.5%29 W · 223 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	28c	1,245$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.74	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	42c	1,237$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.03	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	55c	1,231$678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.48	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	29c	1,230$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.94	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	6c	1,223$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.02	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes	50c	1,222$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.01	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9909…b90cbacked No	67c	1,213$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.37	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	36c	1,211$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.62	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	38c	1,209$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.91	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	59c	1,196$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.73	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	23c	1,193$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$919.42	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	6c	1,169$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.42	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	35c	1,122$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.89	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	59c	1,100$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.2	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	52c	1,079$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.44	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddab…505ebacked No	4c	1,072$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.89	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	36c	1,067$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.77	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	29c	1,056$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.71	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event