Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a87a8c9a1b0177836d3be9f531440385ad00761c3a83222fad81c1f33221a30

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $675,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $354,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	20,577$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.41	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	19,029$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	18,634$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.04	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	14,700$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.69	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	13,100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	10,493$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.24	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	10,175$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.62	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	9,018$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.65	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	8,400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	7,482$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.89	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…d019backed Yes	2c	7,374$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.49	78	11.5%9 W · 69 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	12c	6,724$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.94	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	6,501$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.01	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	7c	5,921$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.4	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	5,367$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.67	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	4c	5,328$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.44	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	4,860$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.28	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed Yes	4c	4,761$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.41	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	4c	4,365$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.75	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	10c	4,000$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.83	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	14c	3,820$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.74	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	3,637$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.85	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	3,607$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.37	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	3,437$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.23	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	2c	3,426$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.13	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	2c	3,200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	5c	3,167$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.19	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	8c	2,947$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.84	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	7c	2,750$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.75	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d50…c26bbacked Yes	11c	2,663$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.41	114	16.7%19 W · 95 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	2,482$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.57	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	6c	2,465$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.47	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	12c	2,408$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.66	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	8c	2,362$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.7	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	20c	2,352$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.77	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	7c	2,293$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.66	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb53…3d15backed Yes	18c	2,230$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	10c	2,005$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.94	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	3c	1,979$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.05	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	4c	1,963$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.23	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	4c	1,833$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.77	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	1,818$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.02	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	7c	1,763$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.37	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	7c	1,756$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.95	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	9c	1,658$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.17	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	1,593$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.09	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	1,583$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.23	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	1,564$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	1,513$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.13	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	15c	1,429$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.51	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	7c	1,400$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	7c	1,370$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.98	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	1c	1,324$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	1,324$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.96	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	2c	1,300$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	1,231$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.38	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	17c	1,046$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	1,028$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Yes	7c	1,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	19c	999.99$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab6…36f3backed No	79c	999.99$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	3c	999.95$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	5c	995.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa932…79a6backed Yes	5c	988.16$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	71	2.8%2 W · 69 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	9c	986.94$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	6c	961.29$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.09	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	20c	920$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	16c	900$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	3c	900$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	3c	883.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.61	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	21c	877.14$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.2	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	854.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	11c	828.18$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.1	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	18c	775.08$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.66	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd768…5105backed Yes	18c	763.41$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.38	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	760.11$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068d…70d3backed Yes	2c	699.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	13c	697.34$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.94	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	11c	674.19$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.39	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…b9c5backed Yes	2c	659.3$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.21	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb603…58febacked Yes	12c	634.17$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.85	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1907…8174backed Yes	16c	620$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	600$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	8c	599.27$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f6…f3d6backed No	80c	598.95$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	7c	572.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	19c	565.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.79	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	9c	550.8$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983d…76aebacked Yes	12c	543.09$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.96	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2280…4ef5backed Yes	17c	539.41$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.7	82	15.9%13 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	6c	535.7$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2651…1b4ebacked Yes	13c	532.27$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.89	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x881a…0a21backed Yes	16c	522.33$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	6c	515.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.82	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event