Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcdb52d56f4077c214f977b6abd35e627fc6b5cf665b45c09b097a94c6c74a08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,008,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,008,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 1c | 85,678$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.56 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 0c | 65,931$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.31 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…6520backed Yes | 0c | 31,826$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,843$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…54c8backed Yes | 0c | 15,803$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 1c | 13,657$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Yes | 1c | 12,210$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +272.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…cab7backed Yes | 0c | 12,058$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 0c | 10,727$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 10,666$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 1c | 10,220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 0c | 10,065$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…d511backed Yes | 8c | 9,729$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.39 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…500fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 114 | 8.8%10 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7e5abacked Yes | 3c | 8,834$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 291 | 13.1%38 W · 253 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 8,685$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 187 | 3.2%6 W · 181 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +278.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…fbbfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,534$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…a16bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,052$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 5,805$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,735$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,375$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c0…a338backed Yes | 0c | 4,855$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 364 | 4.7%17 W · 347 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,780$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 2c | 4,582$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,308$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 1c | 4,015$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 265 | 16.6%44 W · 221 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…f380backed Yes | 3c | 3,959$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.45 | 176 | 31.8%56 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…97c0backed Yes | 0c | 3,928$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed Yes | 2c | 3,866$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 14c | 3,665$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 0c | 3,493$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Yes | 0c | 3,381$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 1c | 3,241$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 2c | 3,044$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 0c | 3,023$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 5c | 2,845$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 2,827$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3480…d29bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,822$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,659$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes | 3c | 2,404$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…1b4ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 1c | 2,235$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 580 | 11.4%66 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 2,233$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 1c | 2,116$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…d091backed Yes | 1c | 2,043$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +254.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes | 2c | 2,033$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 480 | 6.9%33 W · 447 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 6c | 2,001$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,992$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 827 | 11%91 W · 736 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 9c | 1,985$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,956$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,932$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 6c | 1,931$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,923$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 144 | 13.9%20 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 1c | 1,897$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 562 | 8.9%50 W · 512 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 3c | 1,695$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 1c | 1,688$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 1c | 1,594$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes | 1c | 1,590$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 207 | 4.3%9 W · 198 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 6c | 1,574$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…24a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,516$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…c76cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,507$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,436$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,369$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…775abacked Yes | 1c | 1,306$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 386 | 14.2%55 W · 331 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,289$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed Yes | 6c | 1,182$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…0e8bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,155$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 3c | 1,031$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 167 | 16.2%27 W · 140 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes | 2c | 833.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 6c | 807.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 2c | 791.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 233 | 21%49 W · 184 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…2cd8backed Yes | 14c | 785.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 261 | 13.8%36 W · 225 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…36a9backed Yes | 2c | 770.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 95 | 11.6%11 W · 84 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 757.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 2c | 715.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 2c | 675.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 118 | 9.3%11 W · 107 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes | 9c | 650.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 2c | 617.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…58febacked Yes | 3c | 593.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68fc…55d3backed Yes | 16c | 583.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 14c | 566.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 4c | 556.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 732 | 15.2%111 W · 621 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…e0eebacked Yes | 18c | 550.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 2c | 533.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 480.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 398 | 6.8%27 W · 371 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…be04backed Yes | 4c | 459.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…9f02backed Yes | 4c | 455.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 12c | 391.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…4b62backed Yes | 10c | 356.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -85%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8e19backed Yes | 3c | 351.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…a1efbacked Yes | 8c | 343.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd8…f0c2backed Yes | 5c | 297.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…2b22backed Yes | 5c | 277.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 17c | 273.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…6996backed Yes | 9c | 270.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 141 | 24.1%34 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Yes | 17c | 266.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…96babacked Yes | 4c | 245.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.