TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0625…96ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Medjedovic (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Busebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.64
Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Jay Clarkebacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$81.59
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yaobacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$68.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$59.31
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Valentova (+1.5)backed Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.31
Set 1 Winner: Siniakova vs Kalinskayabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.93
Francavilla: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Ryan Seggerman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44%+$122.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53%+$142.58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karolina Pliskova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lysbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dalma Galfi vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Dalma Galfi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.44
Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cuibacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lilli Tagger vs Maria Sakkaribacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.12
Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Justin Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.3
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Yufei Renbacked Yufei Ren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$11.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.21
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.87
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$73.72
Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.35
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.75
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.03
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$318.81
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$35.2
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$85.96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$82.24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$53.36
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.