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Tennis · resolved market

Francavilla: Ryan Seggerman vs Jay Clarke

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ryan Seggermanof Ryan Seggerman, Jay Clarke
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Ryan Seggerman47c12,788$5,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,801.2811,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ryan Seggerman60c6,856$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.318,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Ryan Seggerman44c6,656$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,716.734,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Jay Clarke62c6,461$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Jay Clarke57c6,200$3,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,540.5131234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Jay Clarke65c5,221$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.6984736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ryan Seggerman40c4,767$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.647,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Jay Clarke45c4,749$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.114,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jay Clarke55c4,608$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.89,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ryan Seggerman48c3,997$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.4454345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Ryan Seggerman39c3,373$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.0827431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Ryan Seggerman37c3,036$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.9441645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Jay Clarke56c3,014$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69921244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jay Clarke23c2,885$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.285,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Ryan Seggerman39c2,854$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.2566139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ryan Seggerman55c2,555$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.631,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Ryan Seggerman19c2,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02532935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Jay Clarke45c2,241$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Jay Clarke54c2,003$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.1629754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Jay Clarke3c1,955$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2230672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Jay Clarke41c1,718$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.121,03250.1%517 W · 515 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Jay Clarke35c1,611$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56813631.6%43 W · 93 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ca…a0c5backed Jay Clarke9c1,214$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Jay Clarke66c1,040$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6851947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jay Clarke47c1,022$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.042,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Ryan Seggerman65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,10352.2%576 W · 527 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ryan Seggerman62c988.13$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.483,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Jay Clarke19c960.8$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5537421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Ryan Seggerman38c951.9$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.9729033.1%96 W · 194 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jay Clarke44c943.06$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.715,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1c…571ebacked Jay Clarke32c800.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Ryan Seggerman40c780.57$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.561924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa838…bccebacked Ryan Seggerman70c714.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.286264.5%40 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick70cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jay Clarke70c686.15$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.539,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Jay Clarke25c682.72$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.129519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Ryan Seggerman38c643$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3349456.5%279 W · 215 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jay Clarke58c624.76$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.84,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb171…39eebacked Jay Clarke47c613.16$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.398235.4%29 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jay Clarke71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4264,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Ryan Seggerman61c569.8$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.811158.6%65 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Ryan Seggerman39c559.03$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3315742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ryan Seggerman23c514.39$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.971,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Ryan Seggerman33c489.39$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.588038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Jay Clarke41c484.34$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5821560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Ryan Seggerman45c441.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.427660.5%46 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Ryan Seggerman45c421.09$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.625245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb943…375bbacked Ryan Seggerman44c418.54$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3817649.4%87 W · 89 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryan Seggerman21c384$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.094,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Ryan Seggerman47c368.8$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.81,67553.1%889 W · 786 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Ryan Seggerman68c354.11$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.383,88555%2,137 W · 1,748 L+111.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Jay Clarke16c353.3$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712030%36 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Jay Clarke56c350.73$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4112853.9%69 W · 59 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Jay Clarke50c337.27$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.742558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Ryan Seggerman43c334.46$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1513846.4%64 W · 74 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ryan Seggerman50c323.41$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.122,78153.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L+71.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Ryan Seggerman35c318.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.571,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Jay Clarke47c304.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.328132%90 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…a7dbbacked Ryan Seggerman38c302.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.464344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Ryan Seggerman42c295.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.616258.6%95 W · 67 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Ryan Seggerman38c288$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5286049.7%427 W · 433 L+22.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0625…96babacked Ryan Seggerman71c279.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.592737%10 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Jay Clarke67c257.21$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.332,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Ryan Seggerman51c248.67$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.757447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryan Seggerman57c227.36$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.358,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Ryan Seggerman33c217.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.944940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jay Clarke48c214.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.386,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Ryan Seggerman52c213.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7143062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78d2…3e5bbacked Ryan Seggerman61c213.93$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.932759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Ryan Seggerman46c213.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0452854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Ryan Seggerman47c199.92$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.321,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Ryan Seggerman38c195.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.379749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed Jay Clarke62c191.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8715544.5%69 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Ryan Seggerman39c188.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0327936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ryan Seggerman64c185$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.572,14556%1,201 W · 944 L+41.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ryan Seggerman38c184.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2141850%209 W · 209 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Ryan Seggerman46c181.68$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1111747%55 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Ryan Seggerman20c179.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.448214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Jay Clarke56c176.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9321641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Ryan Seggerman40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2568338.2%261 W · 422 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738f…20e8backed Jay Clarke6c169.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.19650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Ryan Seggerman40c167$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7672132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Jay Clarke60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74c…1f49backed Ryan Seggerman75c166.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6614674%108 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Jay Clarke46c164.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.115,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Jay Clarke66c161.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.533256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482f…7504backed Jay Clarke70c157.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.086068.3%41 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Jay Clarke70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10553843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Ryan Seggerman38c149.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9925051.6%129 W · 121 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Jay Clarke37c146$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1617617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ryan Seggerman42c144.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.358,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Ryan Seggerman38c144.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.924721.3%10 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Ryan Seggerman55c142.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2899244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Jay Clarke71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Jay Clarke58c139$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6243067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ryan Seggerman69c126$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2155360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Jay Clarke55c109.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.372,15354.1%1,165 W · 988 L-2.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Ryan Seggerman75c108.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2156070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Ryan Seggerman42c105.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.041,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Ryan Seggerman49c103.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0622154.8%121 W · 100 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Jay Clarke52c102.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.125763.4%163 W · 94 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.