TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7c5…99d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: WNBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT12853.9%69 W · 59 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Matthew William Donald vs Giorgio Tabaccobacked Giorgio Tabacco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.42
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$286.3
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.59
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,723Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,723.35
Roehampton: Radu Albot vs Leonardo Rossibacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Prague: Nerman Fatic vs Matthew William Donaldbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$643.39
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.1
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$135.43
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.12
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.26
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$120.61
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.85
National Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.84
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$62.18
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.57
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$235.18
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$114.33
San Marino: Alexandre Muller vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$184.81
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+207.3%+$174.9
Los Cabos Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.67
Los Cabos Open: Aidan Mayo vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.17
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$276.46
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.43
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$187.83
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.58
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.47
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$69.66
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.83
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$26.04
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.62
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.97
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$23.3
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.1
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$24.01
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.24
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$45.65
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$313.35
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.07
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$120.48
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$93.77
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$57.54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$60.43
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.51
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs 5star (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.7
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$84.79
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.2
Counter-Strike: Monte vs 9INE (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.02
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+288.1%+$135.41
Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs Team Aether (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Team Aether · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$126.54
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$95.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$115.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$46.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$89.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.