TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trickedof fnatic, Tricked
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5a8…bf60backed Tricked59c1,414$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5198856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked fnatic42c1,362$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.683,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked58c1,017$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.377,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Tricked68c995.99$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.072,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic40c989.85$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.374,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed fnatic45c893.57$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.148437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic44c840.72$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.214,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Tricked51c820.29$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2821146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed fnatic47c535.98$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7710044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Tricked41c479.49$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.625,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tricked50c468.31$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.484,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed fnatic43c448.95$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1667651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Tricked52c390.09$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0527556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked fnatic41c348.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8135341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked fnatic46c342.6$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.73,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Tricked64c317.91$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5716546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Tricked46c314.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed fnatic39c312$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.191,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked fnatic33c294.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9535449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked fnatic42c281.69$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.152,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e31…340fbacked Tricked48c280$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.74100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked fnatic42c270.28$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7327548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed fnatic49c224.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.812,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Tricked48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed fnatic53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Tricked50c180.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.289240.2%37 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Tricked61c172.78$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.645,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x294e…4982backed fnatic41c157.84$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.726747.8%32 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed fnatic62c157.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tricked54c156.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6771951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic45c151.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.875,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic38c149.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.926,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed fnatic39c148.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.550340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Tricked47c145.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.972,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tricked38c142.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.592,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed fnatic46c137.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8557358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked fnatic44c134.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3784037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Tricked49c122.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5572139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Tricked61c111.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2223072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked fnatic45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb386…5087backed Tricked68c100.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed fnatic30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked fnatic47c97.59$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2638942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b6…44a5backed fnatic58c87.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked fnatic13c85.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.091,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Tricked51c79.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2883543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed fnatic50c77.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4442831.3%134 W · 294 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac02…b942backed fnatic42c76.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.392147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Tricked47c72.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4633237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Tricked54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.131,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Tricked67c70.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3126037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed fnatic37c65.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.052152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed fnatic60c61.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.631353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed fnatic38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.864439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed fnatic32c56.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Tricked54c55.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4518536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ac…e2a8backed Tricked46c54.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5311650.9%59 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Tricked66c53.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.192,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed fnatic63c51.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2231662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Tricked36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.117837.6%67 W · 111 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed fnatic63c49.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9437050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked fnatic58c48.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2766753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked fnatic37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7626046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Tricked43c47.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0635752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic57c46.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.495,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c1…be67backed Tricked59c45.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.664654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed fnatic57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.362544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8932…1cc4backed Tricked59c42.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.237751.9%40 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6777…5bbfbacked Tricked55c41.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.699844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420052.5%105 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed fnatic53c35.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7411750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked fnatic46c31.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.654050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed Tricked61c31.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3623644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b5…2ee9backed fnatic63c31.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Tricked63c26.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.768242.7%35 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Tricked41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7539440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked fnatic57c23.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.331,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Tricked61c20.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8916464.6%106 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x614a…d202backed Tricked53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de0…ea80backed fnatic56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.219655.1%108 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e8…1ea1backed Tricked53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc170…dfe9backed fnatic65c19.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.358030%24 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Tricked56c17.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8610247.1%48 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Tricked69c14.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6725042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.