TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8701…2075

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
161
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6547.7%31 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$14.31
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$10.65
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.86
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 4 Winnerbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$17.09
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.82
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$18.51
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$16.54
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.93
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$75.37
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.76
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.25
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$20.01
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$64.63
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+378.9%+$52.13
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+39%+$9.59
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffsbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.03
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$17.01
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$8.29
Grêmio FBPA vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$13.82
EC Vitória vs. SC Internacional: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$7.94
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
CD Universidad Católica vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.51
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.39
Club Always Ready vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.46
Caracas FC vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
EC Bahia vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+68%+$16.59
Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.27
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.37
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.81
Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.22
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Atlanta United FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
New York Red Bulls vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$21.51
Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked QoR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$47.59
Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$46.31
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.31
Valorant: LAZER vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: ACE Masters Group Bbacked LAZER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+73%+$14.23
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.67
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Karlsruher SC vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.55
Hertha BSC vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
SC Preußen Münster vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.37
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick14cpaid+280.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+603.4%+$99.27
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+339.3%+$50.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$17.98
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.