Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec418af56c78d3233855177048e1e59d3f0f392aaaa69bd950b4d2ac790dca83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 52c | 30,018$15,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,408.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 48c | 28,158$13,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,511.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 5,290$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.24 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 2,116$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.74 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 48c | 1,992$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.31 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 1,954$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.12 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 32c | 1,868$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.31 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 1,311$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.16 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 1,135$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,068$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 72c | 1,042$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 22c | 953.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 49c | 869.78$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.34 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 63c | 634.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked No | 34c | 628.79$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…ced3backed No | 50c | 579.76$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 75c | 571.87$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 50c | 562.37$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 62c | 530.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 68c | 515.76$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 29c | 506.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.33 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 69c | 486.05$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 68c | 485.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 65c | 464.41$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 61c | 302.88$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 50c | 232.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked No | 25c | 170.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 39c | 160.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 159.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 50c | 149.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 47c | 148.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 67c | 139.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 50c | 129.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 70c | 115.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 32c | 113.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 70c | 111.62$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 111.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 100.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed No | 38c | 95.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 49c | 88.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 69c | 88.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 31c | 82.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 53c | 78.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 73.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 73.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 68c | 64.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 48c | 62.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…9fffbacked Yes | 69c | 58.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 52.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 45.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Yes | 73c | 45.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 35.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 29c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 54c | 32.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Yes | 76c | 31.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…17bdbacked No | 34c | 29.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…726abacked Yes | 70c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 64c | 25.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 69c | 22.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 45c | 22.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes | 71c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 60c | 19.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…1782backed Yes | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c58…60e4backed Yes | 69c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes | 71c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…48fdbacked Yes | 70c | 15.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.