TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x81ab…9b4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari: Aleksandar Vukic vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36.32
Saint-Malo: Claire Liu vs Alice Ramebacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.65
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$78
Shymkent 2: Vladyslav Orlov vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35%+$22.71
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Sora Fukudabacked Sora Fukuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Huzhou: Sara Saito vs Xinxin Yaobacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.48
Anastasia Potapova vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+400%+$100.53
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.11
Shymkent 2: Tomasz Berkieta vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.96
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$49.33
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.78
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$55.03
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.97
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.05
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Taburbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.28
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$36.9
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44%+$12.96
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grantbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$34.69
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.14
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.16
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.13
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$38.62
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Barcelonabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.52
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.68
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.46
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.