Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03da7258909cff05ebd3d5c38c9fac5603a68b6700bd8992643c1c93f1ad0c70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Darderiof Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Luciano Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $389,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 32,451$12,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,593.95 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 9c | 31,499$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 10,132$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.84 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 14c | 9,814$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.88 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Luciano Darderi | 54c | 9,566$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.51 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Luciano Darderi | 63c | 7,763$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.73 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luciano Darderi | 67c | 7,746$5,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.18 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 18c | 6,926$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.69 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…1ab9backed Luciano Darderi | 63c | 5,441$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.41 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 5,390$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.03 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 25c | 4,672$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.98 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Luciano Darderi | 58c | 4,534$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.28 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 41c | 4,480$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.82 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luciano Darderi | 68c | 3,905$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.73 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…ca12backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 3,770$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.49 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 41c | 3,126$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.92 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 32c | 2,906$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.88 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 11c | 2,758$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.9 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 8c | 2,592$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 2,399$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.63 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 1,995$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.81 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 36c | 1,957$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.71 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…2650backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…0c77backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 1,865$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 23c | 1,806$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.58 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Luciano Darderi | 74c | 1,566$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 18c | 1,346$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Luciano Darderi | 62c | 1,337$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.23 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Luciano Darderi | 73c | 1,324$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 16c | 1,297$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.55 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 1,247$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Luciano Darderi | 64c | 1,237$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.49 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 1,190$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.26 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luciano Darderi | 69c | 1,123$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.59 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 29c | 969.15$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.85 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 28c | 914.65$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 439 | 50.8%223 W · 216 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Luciano Darderi | 61c | 801.26$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 663.96$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Luciano Darderi | 59c | 662$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.4 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 29c | 660.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Luciano Darderi | 62c | 606.55$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.49 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 581$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 577.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 568.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 510.28$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 505.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 501.13$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 481.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 479.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 476.41$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luciano Darderi | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Luciano Darderi | 68c | 433.91$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 427.56$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 41c | 405.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 370.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 20c | 370.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 17c | 370$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 364.13$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 361.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 6c | 351.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Luciano Darderi | 58c | 340.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 335.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.85 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 323.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5e…de1dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 5c | 314.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 301.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…84febacked Luciano Darderi | 72c | 261.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Luciano Darderi | 63c | 256.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 255.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 250.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luciano Darderi | 67c | 240.01$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 26c | 227.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 225.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Luciano Darderi | 62c | 217.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 8c | 212.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 31c | 203.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Luciano Darderi | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…7615backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 197.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 193.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Luciano Darderi | 63c | 164.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Luciano Darderi | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Luciano Darderi | 60c | 163.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Luciano Darderi | 60c | 162.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Luciano Darderi | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Luciano Darderi | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Luciano Darderi | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Luciano Darderi | 64c | 153.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Luciano Darderi | 58c | 139.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e4…3d1bbacked Luciano Darderi | 63c | 139.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Luciano Darderi | 63c | 124.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.