TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0239…6e89

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT11130.6%34 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Mirra Andreevabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$186.46
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.45
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.8
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Maximilian Neuchristbacked Maximilian Neuchrist · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yufei Renbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$165.05
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.03
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked Khumoun Sultanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Astana: Khumoun Sultanov vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Astana: Jie Cui vs Aziz Dougazbacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.99
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.47
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.77
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Vancouver: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.41
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$216.31
ITF Bolzano: Lorenzo Carboni vs Gabriele Crivellarobacked Gabriele Crivellaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+233.7%+$216.4
The Memphis Classic: Katherine Sebov vs Elvina Kalievabacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Kovacevicbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$213.46
Set 1 Winner: Osorio vs Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.55
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.47
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Mia Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.22
Set 1 Winner: Cecchinato vs Barriosbacked Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Ghana: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$371.76
Panama to score first vs. Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,937.6%+$736.29
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
France vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.94
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.16
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,374.75
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$154.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.