Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3817fbc37895c2d9360807895c5dc74a04b8e93e69105147f894134794a8a1f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 3,864$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 34c | 2,858$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.83 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 33c | 1,764$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 33c | 1,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.07 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 34c | 1,607$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.96 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 32c | 1,106$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.79 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 66c | 999.96$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Yes | 62c | 977.6$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 33c | 668.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.47 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 575.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…83debacked No | 35c | 558.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 68c | 510.53$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…8390backed Yes | 67c | 480.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…7084backed Yes | 69c | 429.29$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 31c | 414.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 31c | 381.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 353$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda50…2a41backed Yes | 58c | 243.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…43b0backed Yes | 69c | 231.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 217.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea5…14d8backed Yes | 66c | 192.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…5273backed Yes | 71c | 182.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…9fc0backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 196 | 40.3%79 W · 117 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…cd64backed Yes | 70c | 148.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…eda8backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…74adbacked Yes | 58c | 142.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes | 66c | 139.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…f0d2backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +259%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 119.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 31c | 93.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…b0a1backed Yes | 61c | 86.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 69c | 86.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…dafbbacked Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…682abacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…b368backed Yes | 70c | 71.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a1ebbacked Yes | 67c | 71.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 68c | 68.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 67c | 57.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…7f75backed Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a79…6fe5backed Yes | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 48c | 50.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4695…4d22backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…ffa1backed Yes | 65c | 45.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…f576backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…077cbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…fdf0backed Yes | 60c | 41.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…e501backed Yes | 68c | 41.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…d9f2backed No | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c3…aaa8backed Yes | 47c | 37.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…0299backed Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 31c | 35.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 33c | 34.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…2936backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2132…118ebacked Yes | 69c | 31.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…5f56backed Yes | 42c | 30.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cac…e62ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…6cf6backed Yes | 67c | 29.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…7b09backed Yes | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…130abacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…e706backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…7163backed Yes | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e8…f3ddbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Yes | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Yes | 68c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 63c | 22.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…f632backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…c7a3backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…9280backed Yes | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…8365backed Yes | 71c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…5db1backed Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…2553backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed Yes | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 66c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…0dc7backed Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…664bbacked Yes | 70c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Switzerland?No won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.