Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a555532074dc65f46bc0d668cabf38bdcd999da8eb8a81592e6aae81a67e9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 1,237$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.27 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 1,235$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 7c | 759.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 2c | 681.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 80c | 499.83$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…7767backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…13e7backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…7801backed Yes | 23c | 436.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…68d4backed Yes | 25c | 260.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…377dbacked Yes | 6c | 242.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 9c | 223.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…bca6backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 77c | 208.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…4a0dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 13c | 155.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…4fd7backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…e605backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…69aabacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…a9f3backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 24c | 114.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 9c | 112.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 16c | 100.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…4873backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…ba97backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca4…8bfcbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked Yes | 23c | 81.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 23c | 73.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…09eebacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…15d2backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Switzerland?No won
- Switzerland to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.