TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x579a…b0a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,084
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT75630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 756 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,825.77
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$878.78
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+596.6%+$287.1
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$85.38
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.06
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$445
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 756 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT20934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 209 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Spread: CA Talleres (-1.5)backed CA Talleres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)backed CA Lanús · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)backed Coritiba FBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Cruzeiro EC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.16
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+313.1%+$563.63
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Will SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$74.68
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$86.23
Will Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.29
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.4
SC Corinthians Paulista leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+205%+$1,158.48
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 0 - 0 CA Rosario Central?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$61.93
Showing 25 of 209 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+603.1%+$361.88
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$365
Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 0 Viking FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will NEC win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$53.18
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$52.7
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+55%+$11.01
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$52.57
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)backed Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Team to Advancebacked AS Omónoia Leukosías · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$86.16
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$857.46
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+283.7%+$113.48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$128.64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$110.37
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 0 Elche CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.28
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 2 - 1 Elche CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Elche CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Spread: RC Deportivo A Coruña (-1.5)backed RC Deportivo A Coruña · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
All 23 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.11
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.82
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
ITF Sao Paulo: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Lucas Andrade Da Silvabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$14.95
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$185.79
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.1
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+287.6%+$330.73
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Everton FC (-2.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Manchester United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)backed Udinese Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$34.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.