Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3994763c19cc41c329430af07f902ee95a339acbfbfff0065148f350097ca0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,115,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,030,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 27c | 157,569$42,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,025.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 145,307$47,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,764.23 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 28c | 81,000$22,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,109.66 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 33c | 77,545$25,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,950.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 71,279$51,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,671.9 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Yes | 31c | 60,862$18,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,953.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 72c | 54,753$39,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,274.35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 48,704$8,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,920.55 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 41,441$11,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,546.63 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe915…3d7fbacked Yes | 73c | 38,071$27,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,791.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 72c | 24,900$17,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,928 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 28c | 24,850$6,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,891.89 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 52c | 23,836$12,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 49c | 22,433$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…c1bbbacked Yes | 71c | 17,584$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 29c | 16,739$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,956.32 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 72c | 16,486$11,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,869.92 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…98c5backed Yes | 73c | 15,748$11,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,495.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…5fcdbacked Yes | 16c | 15,650$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 28c | 15,436$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,113.66 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 13,832$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.5 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 13,068$9,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.97 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 11,092$8,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000.93 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…be88backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 73c | 9,361$6,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,833.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 55c | 8,304$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,575.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…8cc9backed Yes | 46c | 8,146$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Yes | 72c | 8,088$5,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,823.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 73c | 6,978$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.89 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 6,976$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.87 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 28c | 6,890$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 68c | 6,714$4,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.16 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 16c | 6,389$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.14 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 52c | 6,320$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 19c | 6,180$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 80c | 6,133$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.27 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…8872backed Yes | 73c | 6,101$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f6…6c66backed Yes | 16c | 6,063$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 47c | 5,617$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,622.09 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 14c | 5,375$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 64c | 5,042$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.63 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Yes | 31c | 4,471$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 29c | 4,203$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 55c | 3,803$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…edaabacked Yes | 17c | 3,769$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 48c | 3,648$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.53 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 72c | 3,612$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.45 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,563$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 72c | 3,446$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 18c | 3,421$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 30c | 3,200$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 49c | 3,178$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.83 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed Yes | 18c | 3,171$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 57c | 3,155$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.65 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 19c | 3,079$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 33c | 3,065$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.14 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 40c | 3,053$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.46 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 28c | 2,900$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.05 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 28c | 2,870$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.32 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 71c | 2,810$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.2 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 59c | 2,758$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.11 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 56c | 2,606$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.17 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…5131backed Yes | 72c | 2,595$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 53c | 2,544$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 2,535$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.33 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked No | 79c | 2,529$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 72c | 2,479$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.22 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 20c | 2,467$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 62c | 2,427$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.57 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 72c | 2,410$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.84 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 21c | 2,403$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 72c | 2,400$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,373$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 66c | 2,372$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.38 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked No | 32c | 2,229$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed No | 45c | 2,213$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 42c | 2,156$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 2,151$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.8 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 54c | 2,040$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.57 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…2fabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 71c | 1,939$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 69c | 1,908$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…c724backed Yes | 48c | 1,894$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 29c | 1,880$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 8c | 1,838$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…c860backed Yes | 15c | 1,776$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 1,699$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.88 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…9fd2backed Yes | 71c | 1,654$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.