TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9c7…147a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
263
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14746.3%68 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,748Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68%+$4,591.61
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$3,574.9
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$406.7
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,377
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$271.11
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,982.2
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,251.63
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,894Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$2,948.56
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.67
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.61
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$181.41
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$29.48
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.05
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.8
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.43
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.45
Brazil vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$87.97
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$7.53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$502.56
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 5?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$64.03
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.65
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.43
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$892Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$308.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,961Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$1,073.59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 28?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$658.96
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.79
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 20?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$498.79
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+166.7%+$125
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$109.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,407.24
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.24
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.7%+$46.25
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$498
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$215
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$808Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$808.14
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,438.23
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$141.19
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.7%+$210
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$230.77
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.05
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$89.61
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$110
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.3%+$610.58
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+37.8%+$566.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$193.46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$1,355.69
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.6%+$536
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$252
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+80.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.1
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+261%+$1,176.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,632.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$414.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$224
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,582Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.1%+$586.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.