TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$900,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$761,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,933 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes7c73,388$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.5463835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc72…7193backed Yes17c66,847$11,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,235.8350%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes9c50,849$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,681.7335123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes0c29,998$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-63.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x252d…c456backed Yes11c21,713$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.4747721.6%103 W · 374 L-21.2wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-55.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb392…fc73backed Yes8c20,254$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7004912.2%6 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-77.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes3c18,211$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.99250%0 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99dc…1ffebacked Yes7c16,663$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes9c14,688$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.5137745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29ea…701ebacked Yes3c13,192$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.89200%0 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes3c8,327$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes7c8,062$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.293998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes6c7,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508411.9%10 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick4cpaid+599.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes11c7,033$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503923.1%9 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+103.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa786…44b9backed Yes4c6,826$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes9c6,626$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.3487828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes2c6,170$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.74320%0 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2e…cc95backed Yes18c6,145$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Yes8c5,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435466.5%3 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-87.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes9c5,370$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5214337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c5,286$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.176785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes0c5,191$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.38430%0 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes8c5,066$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.581422.1%3 W · 139 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes6c4,814$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4940643.3%176 W · 230 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes18c4,436$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes5c4,393$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.882683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes5c4,271$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.432581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c4,242$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.461490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes7c4,086$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.81466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes7c3,854$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.221022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9907…b562backed Yes13c3,786$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.08244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ee…e231backed Yes1c3,501$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50190%0 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes9c3,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315320%0 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes3c3,453$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.471792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes1c3,249$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741970%0 W · 197 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…46bebacked Yes9c3,136$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes2c2,962$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161373.6%5 W · 132 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-62.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes3c2,836$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.481672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes4c2,797$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.58527.7%4 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d91…34fbbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78c…3469backed Yes8c2,251$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.31861.2%1 W · 85 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-87.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…1ad9backed Yes8c2,125$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.02195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-84.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb4…9776backed Yes10c2,005$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes2c2,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab69…ccbdbacked Yes7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-72.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bd…52b5backed Yes7c1,925$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1955…9865backed Yes12c1,852$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.272114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-70.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3673…ce22backed Yes1c1,805$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.2%6 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes3c1,588$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.02590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes6c1,502$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.465012%6 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…d300backed Yes9c1,479$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.822412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefcc…4883backed Yes3c1,475$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6870%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75e…60babacked Yes4c1,443$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4be…2309backed Yes6c1,400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes4c1,371$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.11985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781f…6763backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked Yes8c1,100$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+794.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe82…6611backed Yes7c1,100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7790%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x189a…094bbacked Yes2c1,099$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…6fc8backed Yes7c904.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5280%0 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes2c852$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes6c846$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.762821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc15a…9c74backed Yes17c800$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.88425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes8c783.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-79.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31e…54c7backed Yes19c772.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x625f…e2c0backed Yes13c770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1150%0 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes16c756.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe930…1dd8backed Yes7c720.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x394a…6190backed Yes12c675$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5061…a7dcbacked Yes1c667.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b91…982dbacked Yes3c665.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02190%0 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571b…3418backed Yes8c651.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc924…8276backed Yes2c650$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-89.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a34…959bbacked Yes13c621.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7980%0 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x209d…43cebacked Yes8c606.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb08d…90cfbacked Yes2c598.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298d…ddb9backed Yes6c580.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.841618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick10cpaid-47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes4c575$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x915d…b65cbacked Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b6…c633backed Yes2c534$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12660%0 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db7…19dabacked Yes18c530.55$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b26…f009backed Yes2c529.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e31…4716backed Yes6c514.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.642516%4 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba69…4629backed Yes6c498.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-88.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d75…f807backed Yes15c460.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.83130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca12…64d7backed Yes3c435$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aec…28c1backed Yes5c418.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23190%0 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2034…16dfbacked Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57a…4dbbbacked Yes6c400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes7c384.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92397.7%3 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-69%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17e1…55fabacked Yes7c378.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes5c355.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Yes4c346.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x331f…f72dbacked Yes5c344.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…faafbacked Yes13c320$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.62450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…d048backed Yes9c317.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf49d…3c3bbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.