Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x300a50f94fe153746aca0714ba2f3fc742fbcbb9bacf24791caf5c3af3406fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $900,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $761,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 7c | 73,388$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.54 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…7193backed Yes | 17c | 66,847$11,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,235.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 9c | 50,849$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,681.73 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 29,998$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 11c | 21,713$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.47 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 8c | 20,254$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 3c | 18,211$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…1ffebacked Yes | 7c | 16,663$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 9c | 14,688$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.51 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ea…701ebacked Yes | 3c | 13,192$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…676dbacked Yes | 3c | 8,327$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 7c | 8,062$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.29 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 6c | 7,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | +599.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 11c | 7,033$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…44b9backed Yes | 4c | 6,826$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 9c | 6,626$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.34 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 2c | 6,170$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…cc95backed Yes | 18c | 6,145$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 8c | 5,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 9c | 5,370$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.52 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 5,286$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,191$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked Yes | 8c | 5,066$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 6c | 4,814$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.49 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…dafbbacked Yes | 18c | 4,436$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 5c | 4,393$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 4,271$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,242$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,086$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 7c | 3,854$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…b562backed Yes | 13c | 3,786$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.08 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…e231backed Yes | 1c | 3,501$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 9c | 3,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 3c | 3,453$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,249$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…46bebacked Yes | 9c | 3,136$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,962$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,836$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,797$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…34fbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed Yes | 8c | 2,251$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…1ad9backed Yes | 8c | 2,125$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…9776backed Yes | 10c | 2,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…ccbdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…52b5backed Yes | 7c | 1,925$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 12c | 1,852$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 1c | 1,805$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 7.2%6 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,588$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 6c | 1,502$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…d300backed Yes | 9c | 1,479$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Yes | 3c | 1,475$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…60babacked Yes | 4c | 1,443$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…2309backed Yes | 6c | 1,400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 4c | 1,371$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +794.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…6611backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…094bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,099$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 7c | 904.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 2c | 852$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 6c | 846$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…9c74backed Yes | 17c | 800$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 8c | 783.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…54c7backed Yes | 19c | 772.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 16c | 756.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…1dd8backed Yes | 7c | 720.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…6190backed Yes | 12c | 675$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…a7dcbacked Yes | 1c | 667.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked Yes | 3c | 665.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…3418backed Yes | 8c | 651.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…8276backed Yes | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…959bbacked Yes | 13c | 621.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…43cebacked Yes | 8c | 606.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…90cfbacked Yes | 2c | 598.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ddb9backed Yes | 6c | 580.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 575$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…b65cbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…c633backed Yes | 2c | 534$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…19dabacked Yes | 18c | 530.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…f009backed Yes | 2c | 529.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 6c | 514.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…4629backed Yes | 6c | 498.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…f807backed Yes | 15c | 460.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…64d7backed Yes | 3c | 435$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…28c1backed Yes | 5c | 418.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…16dfbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57a…4dbbbacked Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Yes | 7c | 384.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -69%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e1…55fabacked Yes | 7c | 378.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…7ae5backed Yes | 5c | 355.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Yes | 4c | 346.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…f72dbacked Yes | 5c | 344.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…faafbacked Yes | 13c | 320$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…d048backed Yes | 9c | 317.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49d…3c3bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.