TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe937…d46a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tweets, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 62 out of 100; worst Mls at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT7140.8%29 W · 42 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+112.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+874.8%+$1,576.44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$43.32
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+596.2%+$1,914.52
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.12
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.93
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.04
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.47
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 22,000 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$91.04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$65.57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.26
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$141.07
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$39.53
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$124.79
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$79.96
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.2
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.06
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.7
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.8
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$114.13
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$224.66
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.23
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.09
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$152.43
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.05
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.42
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$713.47
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$249.9
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.18
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.75
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.97
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.48
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.78
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$456.22
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.85
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$470
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick30cpaid+69.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+298.8%+$555.32
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+317%+$1,188.67
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+377.2%+$523.26
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+326%+$443.28
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.68
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$40.08
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.63
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will Khamenei post 25-29 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.95
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+670.5%+$1,172.13
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.05
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$20.81
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.81
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.06
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19.4
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$117.67
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+328.5%+$98.29
Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.25
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$86.59
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,437Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$3,201.95
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5
AWS service disrupted by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+192.3%+$238.4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$29.37
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$231.16
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$46.55
Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$230.22
Will Claude go down 5-6 times in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$76.17
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160.74
GPT-5.4 released by March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$4.33
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$39.18
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.95
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.1
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.45
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.01
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+441.7%+$415.99
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.71
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.12
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.14
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.29
Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.18
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+118.5%+$410.1
Will Donyell Malen be in Netherlands's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+512.2%+$250.99
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Morocco vs. Madagascar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.65
Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.22
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.02
Haiti vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Algeria vs. Guatemala: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.03
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.99
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$33.15
Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.52
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$69.44
SC Internacional vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
CA Paranaense vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+100%+$25
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.46
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44%+$8.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+794.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+376.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.14
Charlotte FC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$40.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.9%+$61.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$21.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$35.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.