La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ccb5ad0559a7500a9b5872d4f814d196caaa4106cf621d5a048a13b9f427ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 1,341$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.24 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 739.24$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 666.45$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 54c | 328.72$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 46c | 292.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 254$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed No | 47c | 211.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 58c | 208$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 202.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 191.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 180.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 57c | 175.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 171.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 43c | 145.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 53c | 142.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 58c | 104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 45c | 103.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 87.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 50c | 83.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 50c | 79.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 68c | 77.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…0556backed Yes | 80c | 77.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 54c | 77.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…893ebacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 54c | 74.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 70.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Yes | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed No | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5a22backed Yes | 53c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 46c | 22.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb21…eb79backed Yes | 56c | 20.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.