TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2dc3…9d67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
468
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT39431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 394 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Michael Mmohbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Huzhou: Katarzyna Kawa vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Veronika Erjavec vs. Xiyu Wang: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Jiujiang: Alex Bolt vs Adam Waltonbacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Jiujiang: Coleman Wong vs Fajing Sunbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Abidjan 2: Calvin Hemery vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+144%+$277.85
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.29
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$234.26
Cagliari: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Jesper de Jongbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$538.57
Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Jessika Ponchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$500.15
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.15
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Cagliari: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.61
Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.79
Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.39
Cagliari: Mattia Bellucci vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+151.6%+$723.88
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Cagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Mauthausen: Martin Krumich vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$225.87
Huzhou: Xinxin Yao vs Rada Zolotarevabacked Xinxin Yao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$981
Saint-Malo: Amandine Monnot vs Lilli Taggerbacked Amandine Monnot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.07
Showing 25 of 394 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,110
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$366.67
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$749.67
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$820.16
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$820.16
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+86.2%+$93.05
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.1%+$425.6
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+203%+$1,015.15
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$923.08
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$520.41
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$475
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$340.76
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+628.9%+$453.19
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.35
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$418.43
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$389
Torino FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$73.64
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$563.83
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+86.8%+$433.83
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$201.46
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$251
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$338.3
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$340.62
Sunderland AFC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$95.6
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+135%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Egypt vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.