TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No65c5,920$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.892,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed No79c5,762$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.15785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes49c2,237$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes20c1,859$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.553050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No51c1,176$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.211936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes14c1,001$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.157025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes24c999.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.99825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes49c993.93$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2733148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes14c899.46$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.925518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No51c893.01$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No49c799.9$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.951936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45fb…aad0backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No79c477.33$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c406.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.91,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No49c397.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes49c387.26$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0724953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes50c299.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes27c285.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No76c255.51$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No50c248.47$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No52c243.25$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.621942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.29045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c178.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes50c164.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes21c151.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes42c143.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c128.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes22c122.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked No52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.63243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No52c119.19$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.654553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9f…d2d5backed Yes34c116.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No64c115.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.329750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes24c114.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes50c107$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.864233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes53c94.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked No53c92.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.522240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes51c80.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4913…d01bbacked No53c75.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes42c68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.266863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf720…66acbacked Yes51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3541…644bbacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ce…2414backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Yes49c58.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.511070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes48c52.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…849cbacked Yes51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256058.3%35 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked No51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Yes50c46.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick66cpaid-23.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked No52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209851%50 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…378bbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204963.3%31 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Yes49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c39.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed No50c30.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa031…ef85backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96d4…994cbacked Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Yes50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No51c20.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.036851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd364…2778backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…c4c1backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.