TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf720…66ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT6848.5%33 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$191.87
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.86
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.13
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$146.37
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.9%+$49.24
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.79
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$39
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.9%+$25.56
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+115.5%+$18.82
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$72
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$81.6
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$72.25
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$268
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+86.4%+$46.65
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.02
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.3%+$66.54
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.24
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$307.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.3%+$225.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$83.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$72.45
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$293.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$41.73
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$32
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.1
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Republican House Odds Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+106.1%+$32.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+77%+$69.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$184.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.