Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dfd6556357ed2cbdcd1d4b62e73e2bdb2c20e8344bef633d4cfae1b9d4e18ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 39c | 6,347$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.95 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 61c | 5,266$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.47 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 4,209$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.15 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 2,650$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.88 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,419$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 2,272$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 41c | 1,610$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.36 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 2c | 1,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 938.78$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.55 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes | 60c | 868.95$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 62c | 818.9$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 770$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.72 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 60c | 710$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 39c | 639.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…13d3backed Yes | 65c | 543.75$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 61c | 501.12$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.45 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 464.48$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 40c | 454.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 60c | 447.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 62c | 403.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 383.36$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 259.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 61c | 218.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 56c | 217.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 40c | 195.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 37c | 162.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 59c | 151.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…9766backed Yes | 62c | 144.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 134.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked No | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 39c | 122$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 40c | 121.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 40c | 113.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 62c | 111.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625b…71dfbacked Yes | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed No | 40c | 97.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 64c | 95.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 63c | 60.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…eff0backed Yes | 63c | 54.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 38c | 51.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…9a66backed Yes | 62c | 43.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…3e18backed No | 41c | 40.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 39.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked No | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 60c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…aebdbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d04…e037backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…28cbbacked Yes | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Yes | 61c | 30.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 37c | 30.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 60c | 26.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Yes | 61c | 26.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…23b0backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d7…3bf3backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774b…afe3backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…62a5backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Yes | 60c | 23.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.