TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked No39c6,347$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,489.9519239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes61c5,266$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.4728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c4,209$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.152,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No40c2,650$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.881,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes62c2,419$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.132560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c2,272$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7407945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No41c1,610$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.3613939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed No2c1,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324411.4%5 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No37c938.78$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes60c868.95$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.585100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes62c818.9$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.93754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes63c770$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes60c710$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2842962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No39c639.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.589733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes65c543.75$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.313141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes61c501.12$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4539948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No39c464.48$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No40c454.56$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes60c447.9$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.161533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes62c403.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.465064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No41c390$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.95438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c383.36$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.184,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c259.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.431,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.871,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes61c218.74$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3119244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Yes56c217.4$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6613054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No40c195.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes62c193.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.553161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7219145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6715560%93 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6717048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No37c162.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0215038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734035%14 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes59c151.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.417050%35 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa73b…9766backed Yes62c144.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes58c134.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked No39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.725532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506344.4%28 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No39c122$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked No40c121.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.782133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked No40c113.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.413954%75 W · 64 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes62c111.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2914551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x625b…71dfbacked Yes64c103.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed No40c97.43$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.973250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes64c95.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3142862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes61c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6740841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes63c60.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.384748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebcd…eff0backed Yes63c54.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.213756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No41c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3222746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No38c51.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes63c50.79$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.796558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.517255.2%95 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208853.4%47 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes60c49.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.732944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f26…14f0backed No41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d4…9a66backed Yes62c43.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.679946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6711048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f32…3e18backed No41c40.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1614463.9%92 W · 52 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No39c39.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.271,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes60c36.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6729644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked No40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.924340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes59c33.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes59c33.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.621225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x383e…d998backed Yes60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked No40c33.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes60c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1218651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5df…aebdbacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d04…e037backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…28cbbacked Yes60c31.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf720…66acbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcbd…191dbacked Yes61c30.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.052857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked No37c30.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.289230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Yes59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes60c26.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7637342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529c…1809backed Yes61c26.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479f…23b0backed Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d7…3bf3backed Yes60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x774b…afe3backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabaa…62a5backed Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Yes60c23.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.216357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.266048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.48258.5%48 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes60c16.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.