Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x646705feb41d5aef1ee8db0bc3ece169fa78deb134b73af011bd42beb1fd9c51

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $537,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $542,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,102 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	45c	258,855$116,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,811.79	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-7.7wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	55c	150,000$82,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,500	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under	57c	105,945$60,007 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,937.81	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	21,565$10,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,950.89	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	17,897$9,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,371.02	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under	55c	17,491$9,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,871.09	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Under	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,928.57	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	44c	8,800$3,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,849	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	44c	6,081$2,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,683.98	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	43c	6,000$2,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,580	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	44c	5,107$2,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,222	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…a14cbacked Over	43c	4,885$2,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,104	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,720	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over	44c	3,882$1,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,708	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over	44c	3,405$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.93	210	49%103 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	55c	3,333$1,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.85	182	59.3%108 W · 74 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under	65c	3,223$2,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.76	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	47c	3,120$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.42	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	46c	3,042$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,629.26	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Under	8c	3,016$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,765.63	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+111.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	56c	2,711$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.97	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Over	43c	2,326$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	44c	1,826$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.52	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	32c	1,780$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,204.36	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	56c	1,775$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.8	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	43c	1,679$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.75	192	53.1%102 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	46c	1,584$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	44c	1,506$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.64	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over	45c	1,500$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over	78c	1,500$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.35	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-8.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over	46c	1,495$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.23	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over	44c	1,418$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624.06	90	42.2%38 W · 52 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	44c	1,400$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.03	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over	44c	1,141$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under	55c	1,100$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.98	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-27%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	54c	1,031$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.17	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over	37c	1,000$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.16	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Under	56c	999.98$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.99	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under	56c	999.93$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.97	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under	56c	935.88$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.78	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under	57c	915.79$522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.79	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	46c	876.84$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over	54c	841.27$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.65	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1a…40b4backed Over	44c	840$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	58c	799.39$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.55	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	58cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over	66c	772.2$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.73	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under	57c	750$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.5	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+53.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Under	56c	716.07$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.07	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dee…f426backed Over	43c	697.65$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.99	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Over	41c	669.48$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	70c	625.37$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.97	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under	47c	600.67$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.38	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under	38c	600$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	30c	562.8$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.13	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Over	54c	551.18$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	55c	542.9$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.25	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under	70c	502.57$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.77	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over	70c	500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	70c	500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	45c	486.69$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.9	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	16c	485.9$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.28	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	47c	471.07$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.95	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under	56c	449.64$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.84	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over	45c	440$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	43c	417.41$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.49	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over	44c	400$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over	45c	374.83$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.83	148	45.9%68 W · 80 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	56c	364.93$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.37	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over	51c	349.98$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.99	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-5.8wins	-0.21per pick	66cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over	64c	341.18$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.51	192	44.3%85 W · 107 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Over	45c	333.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	58c	329.88$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.55	163	57.1%93 W · 70 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	68c	291.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under	58c	286.2$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.2	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	43c	277$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.33	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	43c	266.18$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.63	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over	43c	260.49$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.01	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	37c	253.38$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.75	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	56c	250$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	55c	250$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7efb…add5backed Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	44c	218.36$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.08	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over	44c	211$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.84	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	52c	203.85$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed Over	43c	200$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over	55c	199.99$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x380e…5f39backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1798…8ff4backed Over	52c	187.73$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…c25bbacked Under	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Under	61c	173.34$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.61	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event