TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dee…f426

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT3363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.93
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.31
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.19
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.31
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5)backed UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$167.66
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.7
Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$144.92
Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$83.69
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
West Georgia Wolves vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.67
Buffalo Bulls vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$46.14
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$161.08
Albany Great Danes vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+27.1%+$40.4
Spread: Portland State Vikings (-4.5)backed Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$154.76
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$170.32
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$223.18
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$255.76
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$297.55
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Marist Red Foxesbacked Marist Red Foxes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.4%+$85.13
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$274.5
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+73.1%+$120.6
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-10.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$143.33
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Rider Broncsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$230.58
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-7.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$146.38
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Arthur Filsbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Hersonissos: Lui Maxted vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$66.35
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Luca Nardi vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$121.6
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.7%+$95.78
Antalya: Iryna Shymanovich vs Despina Papamichailbacked Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$159.99
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borgesbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.8
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$61.55
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.59
Mexican Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$63.24
Mexican Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Nardibacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$179.99
Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobollibacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$181.19
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.2%+$51.25
Delray Beach Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.26
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$37.5
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$155.99
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$353.99
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$179.99
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.24
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$299.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$49.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$31.43
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.12
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$110.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$24.02
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.26
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.31
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.18
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.99
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$144.12
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$45.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.44
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+301%+$138.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$26.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D.C. United SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.