Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa41ffb5573c17a66a4e829084cb87f4df00eb41500dbdae08d6a4ad5be0f1fdc

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,252,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,252,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 926 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	68c	38,793$26,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,330.47	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed No	76c	34,253$26,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,188.57	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	26c	26,214$6,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,420.31	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	31c	22,260$6,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,335.81	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	33c	17,833$5,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,981.36	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	18c	16,000$2,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,139.96	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	11c	14,772$1,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,185.52	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	42c	14,224$5,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,228.23	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	23c	12,747$2,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,868.26	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	35c	12,227$4,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,942.3	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	26c	11,626$2,988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,637.4	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	27c	11,227$3,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,148.23	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	16c	11,061$1,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,329.09	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	21c	10,500$2,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,304.66	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked Yes	27c	10,349$2,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,580.66	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1327…0119backed No	41c	10,283$4,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,249.22	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	25c	9,312$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,996.59	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	19c	8,244$1,584 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,659.52	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	11c	7,663$838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,824.77	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	15c	7,562$1,123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,439.38	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed No	76c	7,500$5,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,728.2	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	51c	7,182$3,679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,503.01	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	28c	6,750$1,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,831.4	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	71c	6,292$4,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,484.36	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	17c	5,958$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,964.26	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	28c	5,812$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,156.06	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	29c	5,661$1,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,996.85	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Yes	38c	5,554$2,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,419.07	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked No	0c	5,315$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…3cb2backed Yes	28c	5,296$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,835.5	40	70%28 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	25c	5,191$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,885.44	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	24c	5,170$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,923.8	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	9c	5,000$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,555.86	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	63c	4,918$3,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,105.26	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	79c	4,879$3,847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,847.06	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	19c	4,816$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,903.64	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	21c	4,717$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,739.49	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	13c	4,600$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,987.15	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	20c	4,452$880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.38	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	16c	4,353$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,643.64	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	13c	4,255$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,704.35	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	16c	4,204$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,542.06	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	26c	4,177$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,071.25	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…08f0backed Yes	20c	4,143$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,298.91	216	14.8%32 W · 184 L	-8.1wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed No	1c	4,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	9c	4,000$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	11c	3,924$413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,510.71	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9324…1e0ebacked Yes	46c	3,638$1,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,953.3	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x111b…c3c0backed Yes	30c	3,517$1,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,455.06	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	39c	3,484$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142.38	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	20c	3,402$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,714.84	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	11c	3,213$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,846.9	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d32…d12bbacked Yes	20c	3,195$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,556.88	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	19c	3,036$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,457.8	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	19c	3,000$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,424.22	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	45c	3,000$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,659.47	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb30a…250ebacked No	11c	3,000$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,760	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	3,000$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.99	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	19c	2,839$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,287.09	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	19c	2,829$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,293.84	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd87f…d3e4backed Yes	50c	2,822$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.39	139	17.3%24 W · 115 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	2,732$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,465.51	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	14c	2,724$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,344.42	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	12c	2,720$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,380.99	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	12c	2,656$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,332.07	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	60c	2,631$1,572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,058.79	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	18c	2,580$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,109.93	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6b5…80eebacked Yes	28c	2,508$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.58	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	30c	2,500$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.96	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa128…541ebacked Yes	4c	2,470$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,371.2	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Yes	9c	2,455$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,235.16	111	11.7%13 W · 98 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	74c	2,362$1,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,757.25	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	22c	2,300$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,785	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	28c	2,300$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,649	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb05d…9cfcbacked Yes	21c	2,262$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,797.65	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes	30c	2,216$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,555.71	96	26%25 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	26c	2,202$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.68	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	15c	2,200$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,865.95	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	53c	2,126$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.88	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	61c	2,048$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.41	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	2,036$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.43	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed No	2c	2,000$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed Yes	36c	2,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.99	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	16c	2,000$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.99	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	11c	1,991$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.01	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa6…4094backed Yes	13c	1,978$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.88	307	14%43 W · 264 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed No	67c	1,950$1,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,316.03	181	63%114 W · 67 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked No	38c	1,930$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.09	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	53c	1,920$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.94	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	7c	1,874$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.51	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+114.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes	7c	1,864$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733	79	7.6%6 W · 73 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	17c	1,864$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,541.47	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	58c	1,847$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.86	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	9c	1,826$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,662.32	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	17c	1,800$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,486.78	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	31c	1,787$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,224.26	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	38c	1,775$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.77	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf328…2b78backed Yes	59c	1,769$1,049 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.33	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	29c	1,743$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,228.95	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event