TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x779a…b689

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
422
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT14162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 141 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$640.18
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$378.47
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$665.24
Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$251.5
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$594.64
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$858
Warsaw: Elizara Yaneva vs Yue Yuanbacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,389.9
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,325.26
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,002
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,018Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,261.6
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,431Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$1,700.44
National Bank Open, Qualification: Lanlana Tararudee vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$260.6
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,789Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,859.42
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,240.47
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,831Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,550.14
Samsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Semen Pankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,066.11
Los Cabos Open: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,909Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,724.7
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,944.15
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$206.56
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Caijsa Hennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$157.68
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kristina Liutova vs Maria Kozyrevabacked Kristina Liutova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$93.19
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,465.83
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$577.5
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$722.69
Showing 25 of 141 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT7852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,816.43
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+169.8%+$2,700.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.1
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.09
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,947Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$1,661.69
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$324.77
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.7
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,893Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$3,198.19
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$565.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$236.8
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$533.4
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.6
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,976Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$624
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$107.88
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$598
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,310.52
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$565.4
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,656Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,655.93
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,743Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,211.01
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$609.56
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,273.54
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sunbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$551.41
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,718.18
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.4
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,433.47
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,002.99
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,078
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,002.48
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$654.41
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,006.32
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,643.85
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$1,910.73
Team Spoon vs. Team Coopbacked Team Coop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.42
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$843.03
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,820.48
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.02
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,206Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,126.19
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,849Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$552.43
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,463
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$67.03
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$704
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$897.41
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.38
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+571.2%+$1,142.55
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.55
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$337.92
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.1
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$247.31
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$362.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,952.08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$975.86
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+284.1%+$1,628.68
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.9
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.99
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$264.49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$56.57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+297%+$1,888.05
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,421.36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$99.52
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,748Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$2,255.39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,254.86
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$911.34
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5080%40 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$4,880.1
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,688Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,580.71
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,003
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$1,618.81
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$484.14
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$370.32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$315.83
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.69
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,967.38
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$898.98
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$215.36
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$120.44
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,701.98
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,569Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$1,279.75
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$660.84
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$475.88
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$569.26
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,022.77
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,369.7
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,278.76
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,732Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,524.47
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$905.86
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$672.04
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,709Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$809.33
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$3,329.21
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.47
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$512.59
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016.36
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.68
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.79
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$216
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.53
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.78
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.22
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$184.72
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$73.15
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+121.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+827.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$988.91
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$259.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,764.89
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$695.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)backed Hamarkameratene · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$101.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)backed SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$803.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$758Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$758.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.