NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27691e8a8e40dace01b29a4468120667e9407f97c00d51a3dffe002ba1b09bf8

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,130 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Cavaliers	47c	33,610$15,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,821.57	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	53c	15,124$8,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,008.84	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Pistons	51c	9,943$5,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,047.31	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Cavaliers	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,249.94	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	63c	3,809$2,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,393.04	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pistons	53c	3,425$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,803.83	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	62c	2,814$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.93	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers	26c	2,157$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.8	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Pistons	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.99	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	65c	1,726$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.2	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pistons	50c	1,250$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers	46c	1,239$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.96	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers	34c	1,059$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$698.79	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Cavaliers	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Pistons	62c	849.91$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.86	548	53.8%295 W · 253 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Cavaliers	36c	840$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.6	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers	30c	772.56$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.37	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Pistons	64c	630.07$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.24	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Pistons	65c	620$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers	52c	610$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.85	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Pistons	66c	608.88$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.74	535	39.6%212 W · 323 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Pistons	65c	587.69$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	138	58%80 W · 58 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers	35c	564.34$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.6	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Pistons	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	35c	500$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons	49c	460.61$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.7	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Pistons	60c	453.36$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.16	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Cavaliers	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Cavaliers	35c	428.99$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.84	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Pistons	65c	415.38$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cavaliers	45c	412$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.6	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Pistons	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pistons	55c	391$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.05	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers	35c	380$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers	34c	340.09$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.46	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pistons	52c	326$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.52	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Pistons	55c	325.35$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.94	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons	64c	299.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.99	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Pistons	70c	285.71$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-5.8wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-28%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…5a4dbacked Cavaliers	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+34%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ca…efc3backed Pistons	56c	267.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Pistons	54c	267.03$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.2	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pistons	66c	263.99$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.01	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Cavaliers	24c	252.91$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Cavaliers	32c	218.75$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.75	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Cavaliers	5c	210$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.1	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Cavaliers	36c	208.33$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pistons	65c	205.16$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.35	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers	11c	200$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Pistons	52c	191.1$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.37	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers	30c	167$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.9	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cavaliers	23c	164.5$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.76	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1deb…db10backed Pistons	36c	158.18$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Cavaliers	36c	150$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	185	34.1%63 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Pistons	65c	147.92$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.15	112	58.9%66 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…99cfbacked Pistons	68c	145.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Cavaliers	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	362	48.1%174 W · 188 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers	34c	135.32$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.69	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Cavaliers	37c	134.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.38	290	40.3%117 W · 173 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Pistons	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Pistons	76c	131.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Pistons	65c	123.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	216	57.9%125 W · 91 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Pistons	64c	121.43$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.71	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Pistons	69c	108$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.52	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Pistons	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Pistons	54c	107$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.66	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Cavaliers	46c	104.35$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.35	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33c…0f39backed Pistons	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2a…3d98backed Cavaliers	35c	99.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.99	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	36cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9966…f991backed Cavaliers	46c	97.41$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.6	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Pistons	67c	90.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	300	55.7%167 W · 133 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Cavaliers	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Pistons	66c	83.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	75	61.3%46 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Pistons	68c	80$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.4	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Cavaliers	57c	70.3$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.3	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Pistons	55c	70$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	153	51%78 W · 75 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Cavaliers	44c	67.78$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.78	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48f…2327backed Cavaliers	29c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.5	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Cavaliers	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	90	61.1%55 W · 35 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Cavaliers	69c	49.77$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.43	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…0c66backed Cavaliers	36c	48.53$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.06	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ba…cf3fbacked Pistons	75c	47.68$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	70cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ba…5038backed Cavaliers	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79f3…be50backed Cavaliers	53c	43.4$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…ce0fbacked Pistons	52c	38.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Pistons	60c	38.04$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.82	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Pistons	59c	37.34$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.16	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Pistons	53c	33.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.79	194	45.9%89 W · 105 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Cavaliers	33c	33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	304	44.7%136 W · 168 L	+21.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pistons	62c	33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Cavaliers	36c	33$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…53b3backed Pistons	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Pistons	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Pistons	77c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-14%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	44c	29.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.42	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	44c	29.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.42	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Cavaliers	38c	29.25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+12.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Pistons	64c	28.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	193	60.1%116 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Cavaliers	47c	25.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event