TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under77c2,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c1,994$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.8766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over40c1,759$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.6355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under62c1,536$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.845971.2%42 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+37.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over14c1,519$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.4819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c1,324$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c1,164$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0325…01bcbacked Over47c1,014$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.152661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over34c1,008$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Under53c1,007$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c934.44$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.71,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over36c908.68$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.451,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under68c881.12$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under41c763$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under63c714.29$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Under70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.853767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Over36c569.44$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.443141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over32c560.26$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1279650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over37c520$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over38c508.15$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Under64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Under67c484.82$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Under65c456.44$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over33c438.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over35c384.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25016743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over35c366.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3721147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6947…d21bbacked Under60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over35c315.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over63c314.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2913759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b1…10f8backed Under64c314.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.281020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2199139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over37c298.09$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under67c297.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d0…9911backed Under68c265$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Under63c230.16$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under50c224$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under24c218.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12411437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Under64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-78.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Under63c199.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.994652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Under52c172.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7118459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Under61c164.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…9cfabacked Under64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over36c154.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8514148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68b…c39cbacked Under63c152.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.831050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x361b…ace4backed Under67c147.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0797…48fdbacked Under68c147.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42f8…f96fbacked Under76c127$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under49c126.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Under42c119.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3910843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over35c118.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.491,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Under60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under54c114.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0120247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over37c107.84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9413047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Under65c107.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Under67c104.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over36c98.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4917043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over37c97.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under50c95.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6721046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under64c95.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.912254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under66c94.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9415662.8%98 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf71a…a191backed Over37c92.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under80c92.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.839548.4%191 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under54c91.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.59941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under54c90.53$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8918444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1301…2cf7backed Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6425…66c5backed Over63c75.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96c…9db0backed Under33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under76c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdaa0…986bbacked Under51c69.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under62c68.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.281,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over31c63.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3445445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c57.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.611,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Over37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.053938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under61c53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3361253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over40c51.24$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.72,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over41c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.191,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over37c50.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c49.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Under61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Under62c48.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed Under64c47.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Under41c45.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5810761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over34c45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc76…8c37backed Under71c44.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.321283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c43.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.453,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Under63c40.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.56051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c37.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over60c37.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.898354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.