NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377b78f3bfce6aefe0b6c8cac6603c004bb49855754e49c89c54b111dd257d7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 1,994$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.87 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 1,759$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.63 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 62c | 1,536$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.84 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 14c | 1,519$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.48 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 60c | 1,324$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,164$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Over | 47c | 1,014$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 34c | 1,008$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.36 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Under | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.04 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 934.44$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.7 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 36c | 908.68$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.45 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Under | 68c | 881.12$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 41c | 763$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.83 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Under | 63c | 714.29$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…1baebacked Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Over | 36c | 569.44$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 32c | 560.26$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 37c | 520$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 38c | 508.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…cc19backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…ff1dbacked Under | 67c | 484.82$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Under | 65c | 456.44$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 33c | 438.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 35c | 384.62$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 35c | 366.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.37 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 35c | 315.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 63c | 314.29$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…10f8backed Under | 64c | 314.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 37c | 298.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under | 67c | 297.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…9911backed Under | 68c | 265$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…154cbacked Under | 63c | 230.16$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 24c | 218.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec6…4558backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 63c | 199.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Under | 52c | 172.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Under | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 36c | 154.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…c39cbacked Under | 63c | 152.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…ace4backed Under | 67c | 147.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0797…48fdbacked Under | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Under | 76c | 127$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 49c | 126.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Under | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 35c | 118.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Under | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 54c | 114.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 37c | 107.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…2444backed Under | 65c | 107.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 67c | 104.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 36c | 98.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 37c | 97.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 50c | 95.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 64c | 95.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 66c | 94.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…a191backed Over | 37c | 92.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Under | 80c | 92.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Under | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 54c | 90.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6425…66c5backed Over | 63c | 75.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…9db0backed Under | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…986bbacked Under | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 62c | 68.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 31c | 63.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 57.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 61c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 51.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 37c | 50.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 49.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 62c | 48.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Under | 64c | 47.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 41c | 45.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…8c37backed Under | 71c | 44.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 58c | 43.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Under | 63c | 40.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 37.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 60c | 37.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.