NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa880c424854d4d7be4e71a2f2e5c50f3e7d78c6bbcd62903010fc48d244e9939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 55c | 45,875$25,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,146.37 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 31,479$15,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,662.92 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 31,173$15,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,898.23 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 47c | 25,000$11,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.95 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 49c | 23,863$11,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,692.77 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 23,205$10,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,325 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 49c | 12,165$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,204.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 45c | 9,900$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,403.57 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Under | 49c | 8,580$4,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Over | 44c | 7,345$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 6,886$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 47c | 6,064$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.78 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 45c | 5,852$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.19 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 5,568$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.12 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 60c | 5,104$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.43 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 66c | 4,060$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 4,005$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.61 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 53c | 3,795$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 3,367$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.72 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf160…c3e7backed Under | 49c | 2,860$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,569$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.19 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.74 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 2,364$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.38 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 41c | 2,197$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.24 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 2,183$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.91 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 2,146$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.36 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 2,137$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.22 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 1,884$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 43c | 1,791$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.24 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 46c | 1,625$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.42 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 1,605$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 1,599$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.26 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 50c | 1,424$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 53c | 1,207$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.45 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 1,164$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.81 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Under | 44c | 1,127$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 48c | 1,080$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.92 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Under | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,048$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…ac64backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Under | 52c | 980$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 974.09$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 30c | 959.48$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Under | 50c | 924.98$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.49 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 916.67$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.67 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 50c | 890$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 889.32$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.93 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 48c | 876.37$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 39c | 823.86$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.77 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 725.74$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 713.32$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.53 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 670.46$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 613.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…13c3backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.16 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 31c | 591.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 584$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 50c | 582.87$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 50c | 554.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62ea…b955backed Over | 39c | 508.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 47c | 499.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 490.1$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 51c | 426.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.11 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 54c | 412.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 66c | 387.64$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.86 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Over | 67c | 385.8$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515e…3fb9backed Over | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 32c | 376.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Over | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 59c | 372.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 68c | 357$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 48c | 356.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Over | 51c | 356.08$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 49c | 315.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.