TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c8,278$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233.161,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under43c7,050$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Over2c5,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9009618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Over73c4,031$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.836946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,003$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Under27c2,024$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.9676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over43c1,955$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.3661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over52c1,893$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9061,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over63c1,775$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.6352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Under38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9818044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under51c1,468$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.7530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over62c1,332$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c1,191$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.4555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under48c1,142$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.6164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Under56c1,081$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under26c1,070$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1410150.5%51 W · 50 L+10.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Under49c938.95$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.091942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Under50c906.52$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over51c885$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.656152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over51c734.28$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over58c689.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Under16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under18c458.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.541,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c441.21$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under35c377.61$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5821640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over40c327.32$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Under18c278.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52a…845abacked Over49c265.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over62c260$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.825657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Over50c198.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9819531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96c…9db0backed Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under43c164.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over50c163.5$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Under51c148.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6910146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Over42c136$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.884037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under51c118.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7160250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7268…78abbacked Over51c116.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.861553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over55c99.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3724936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over53c95.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1710746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6534661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under78c74.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.411,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0724139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c65.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Under46c65.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over51c64.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8122143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over43c62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0881…356abacked Under49c61.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.911957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c56.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.762,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Over62c55.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.158453.6%45 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under53c55.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1855751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under53c55.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1820247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under53c55.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1821849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under53c55.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1833159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Under27c55.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Under51c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.053857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under55c54.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9118444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under55c54.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9121046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Under31c49.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Under70c48.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1110757%61 W · 46 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under52c47.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8419360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over25c47.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2415663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked Over51c41.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.272,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over49c40.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.635337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c39.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under50c39.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7810152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under48c39.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over53c37.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6110061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0933258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under60c33.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207561.3%46 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over53c33.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.548852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3900…29b9backed Under43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over47c31.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7430616.7%51 W · 255 L-36.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc322…a836backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753528.6%10 W · 25 L-8.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-43.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c27.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b37…039dbacked Over62c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.883360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under52c25.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Under52c25.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.467949.4%39 W · 40 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over51c25.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5523445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under46c22.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.316659.6%99 W · 67 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Over63c19.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0541654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Over68c18.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over57c17.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.727360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.