NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46171c5c55c01ce94b38ef5792cdceb0d44e3da59842ff821dc6295a6474bcd9

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $465,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $485,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,960 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6211…b89ebacked Pistons	52c	135,000$70,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,200.03	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers	48c	120,886$58,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,860.62	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons	52c	24,495$12,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,737.25	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f8…8ea0backed Cavaliers	48c	15,360$7,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,986.96	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de2…970ebacked Pistons	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons	51c	15,000$7,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,699.93	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Cavaliers	48c	12,000$5,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,240	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	48c	11,120$5,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,782.45	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Cavaliers	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,416.67	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	47c	10,368$4,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,501.29	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons	76c	9,755$7,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,440.58	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	48c	8,875$4,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons	57c	7,144$4,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,075	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Cavaliers	48c	6,875$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,575	97	43.3%42 W · 55 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Cavaliers	14c	6,767$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,819.43	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Pistons	54c	6,500$3,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,510	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Pistons	53c	6,413$3,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,399	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Cavaliers	48c	6,200$2,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,224	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers	47c	6,000$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,150.33	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Cavaliers	48c	5,521$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,870.83	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Cavaliers	48c	5,521$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,870.83	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons	52c	5,480$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,849.66	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Cavaliers	48c	5,335$2,561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,773.99	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	49c	5,285$2,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.02	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Pistons	54c	4,927$2,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,651.43	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	49c	4,924$2,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,511.14	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	42c	4,295$1,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,485.74	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons	52c	3,918$2,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,037.53	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Pistons	54c	3,898$2,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,124.24	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x452c…7449backed Pistons	53c	3,886$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Pistons	53c	3,774$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Cavaliers	46c	3,760$1,730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.4	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Cavaliers	48c	3,273$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,701.92	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Pistons	53c	3,043$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,612.74	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Pistons	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Pistons	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cavaliers	47c	3,000$1,420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,579.9	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Pistons	50c	2,900$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,451.84	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons	51c	2,855$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.2	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Pistons	53c	2,830$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers	46c	2,799$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.59	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5438…8206backed Cavaliers	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,325	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons	52c	2,400$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.98	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Pistons	53c	2,030$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.9	175	40.6%71 W · 104 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Pistons	53c	2,007$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.23	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Pistons	53c	1,994$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.01	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Pistons	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers	14c	1,870$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,605.08	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Cavaliers	48c	1,806$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.01	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Pistons	59c	1,713$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.73	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers	52c	1,591$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$757.77	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Pistons	53c	1,509$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Cavaliers	46c	1,493$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$806.3	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Pistons	53c	1,377$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons	48c	1,295$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$616.84	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pistons	80c	1,274$1,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.73	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers	45c	1,223$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667.2	389	47.6%185 W · 204 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Cavaliers	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	329	57.4%189 W · 140 L	+18.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Pistons	53c	1,090$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.9	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers	46c	1,080$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.01	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Pistons	32c	1,044$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.08	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Cavaliers	45c	1,000$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Pistons	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Pistons	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Pistons	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Cavaliers	47c	999.99$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.99	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Pistons	53c	970$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.1	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers	46c	965$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.1	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Pistons	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+9.8wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers	47c	925.19$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.35	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Cavaliers	47c	923.53$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.47	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Pistons	53c	911.16$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.91	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+5.8wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+27%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers	72c	833.33$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.41	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Pistons	53c	815$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.95	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Pistons	53c	755$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.15	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers	59c	749.27$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.2	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Cavaliers	69c	724.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.39	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Cavaliers	49c	704.27$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.18	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cavaliers	17c	644$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.22	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Pistons	53c	642.2$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.37	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Pistons	53c	635.78$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.96	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7e…8a0fbacked Cavaliers	46c	615.76$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.51	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Pistons	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	200	57%114 W · 86 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Pistons	53c	600$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x559b…c895backed Cavaliers	49c	585.06$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.38	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cavaliers	15c	561.15$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.49	312	38.5%120 W · 192 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Cavaliers	64c	555.95$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.58	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Cavaliers	48c	530.1$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.45	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	61c	521.46$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.9	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers	47c	521.05$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.16	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Pistons	52c	520$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.4	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Pistons	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Cavaliers	12c	500$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Cavaliers	47c	500$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.39	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Pistons	54c	499.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers	23c	497.22$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.19	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Cavaliers	47c	480.63$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.54	304	48.4%147 W · 157 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Cavaliers	16c	477.99$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.09	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 102.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 2.5No won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 0.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5No won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event