TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,844 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x767a…8ac5backed Cavaliers41c469.8$193 inLost-$192.625058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Cavaliers16c330$53 inLost-$52.812541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons57c299.99$171 inWon+$1291,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers41c289.37$119 inLost-$118.6462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Pistons66c284.39$188 inWon+$96.6947359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Pistons59c205.32$121 inWon+$84.186152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons56c200$112 inWon+$881,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a3…cc1bbacked Cavaliers43c186.84$80 inLost-$80.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Cavaliers41c174.4$72 inLost-$7222844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Pistons59c169.49$100 inWon+$69.492462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Pistons66c109.17$72 inWon+$37.3116147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Cavaliers43c99$43 inLost-$42.575646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb035…d989backed Pistons59c96.64$57 inWon+$39.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Cavaliers43c91.53$39 inLost-$39.3616725.7%43 W · 124 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers36c67.27$24 inLost-$24.481,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Cavaliers43c53.77$23 inLost-$23.1215149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Pistons59c50.74$30 inWon+$20.810746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Cavaliers43c46.51$20 inLost-$209548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae40…9edabacked Pistons59c45.02$27 inWon+$18.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons56c37$21 inWon+$16.282,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Cavaliers44c37$16 inLost-$16.283935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Pistons55c32$17 inWon+$14.535556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Cavaliers41c26.35$11 inLost-$10.861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…8210backed Pistons59c25.42$15 inWon+$10.423167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons57c22.96$13 inWon+$9.8850346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfea…dc29backed Pistons60c18.65$11 inWon+$7.467150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.