TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb035…d989

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.93
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.83
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.41
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$45.86
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$50.27
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$78.35
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.96
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wizbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$111.99
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.2
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$38.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.78
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.64
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$98.14
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.88
Paris: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$53.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.46
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+83%+$82.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$76.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.38
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.1
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$110.48
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$107.55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$152.42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$128.61
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.47
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$81.52
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$93.16
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$53.12
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$81.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.