CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc311f24ca1948de51574fabb3e8d0120d5af039a3fd8da58e2069057c9d11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 17,002$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.62 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 13,434$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.19 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 11,159$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.6 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Vitality | 72c | 10,071$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 8,888$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.46 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 8,828$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.13 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 8,789$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.35 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Vitality | 65c | 6,734$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.88 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality | 76c | 6,318$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.2 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 72c | 5,962$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.73 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,785$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.72 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vitality | 67c | 5,698$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.89 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vitality | 68c | 4,905$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.8 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,826$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.9 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,250$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Vitality | 69c | 4,166$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.76 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 69c | 4,129$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.56 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 3,968$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 3,843$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 3,362$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.95 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,115$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.65 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…8b42backed Vitality | 72c | 3,097$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,084$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.69 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Vitality | 68c | 2,947$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.16 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Vitality | 75c | 2,890$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.42 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Vitality | 69c | 2,500$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Vitality | 54c | 2,450$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.5 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Vitality | 42c | 2,312$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.9 | 201 | 41.8%84 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,300$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Vitality | 79c | 2,267$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.04 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 73c | 2,079$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.35 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 72c | 2,015$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.11 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Vitality | 62c | 2,000$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Vitality | 70c | 1,937$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.52 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 72c | 1,887$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,852$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.44 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Vitality | 69c | 1,694$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.14 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,630$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.79 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed Vitality | 71c | 1,602$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.86 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Vitality | 49c | 1,600$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.59 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Vitality | 54c | 1,589$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.22 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,571$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.03 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Vitality | 54c | 1,560$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,395$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,381$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.46 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Vitality | 73c | 1,363$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.01 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Vitality | 75c | 1,339$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.61 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,334$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.58 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,323$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,305$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.29 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vitality | 44c | 1,290$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.09 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,286$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,261$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.29 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 65c | 1,228$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.73 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Vitality | 56c | 1,208$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.18 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,178$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Vitality | 65c | 1,169$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,163$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Vitality | 73c | 1,150$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 60c | 1,123$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.08 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,110$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed Vitality | 55c | 1,087$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.43 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,067$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.79 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,062$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.54 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vitality | 70c | 1,026$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.09 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Vitality | 74c | 1,004$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.59 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Vitality | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.59 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 999$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 979$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.32 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 933.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 928.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Vitality | 65c | 901.55$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.73 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vitality | 65c | 896.37$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.13 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vitality | 62c | 891.55$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Vitality | 80c | 880.08$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.08 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vitality | 72c | 872.01$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Vitality | 54c | 869.79$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.11 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Vitality | 56c | 854.92$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.69 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality | 53c | 837.76$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.3 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Vitality | 51c | 801.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Vitality | 56c | 767.47$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.01 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…eb23backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 740.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…c3c9backed Vitality | 74c | 730$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 707.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Vitality | 72c | 700.91$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Vitality | 80c | 685.31$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Vitality | 69c | 672$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 667.73$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Vitality | 50c | 665.76$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.88 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Vitality | 77c | 655.77$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Vitality | 55c | 652.2$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.49 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Vitality | 62c | 649.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 648.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 625$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.