CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344511df5444c0d177cf74104905ba8613df1a66015d466533432d3b733e5280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 24,951$12,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,869.41 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Vitality | 51c | 19,369$9,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,878.04 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 15,000$7,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,424.95 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,131$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.07 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 52c | 8,008$4,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.72 | 507 | 54%274 W · 233 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Vitality | 60c | 7,900$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.94 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Vitality | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 724 | 46.4%336 W · 388 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.94 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,907$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.72 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Vitality | 52c | 5,439$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.49 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 779 | 57.4%447 W · 332 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,661$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.27 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,304$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.42 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Vitality | 50c | 3,962$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.7 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Vitality | 62c | 3,301$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.64 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 51c | 2,952$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.02 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,585$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.86 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 53c | 2,516$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Vitality | 49c | 2,469$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.45 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,139$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.28 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 49c | 1,873$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.81 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,682$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.32 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 604 | 48.8%295 W · 309 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Vitality | 54c | 1,528$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.99 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.7 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Vitality | 50c | 1,500$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.49 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,470$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 797 | 40%319 W · 478 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Vitality | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Vitality | 47c | 1,221$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.01 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,208$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.58 | 987 | 52.5%518 W · 469 L | +26.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Vitality | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Vitality | 44c | 1,198$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Vitality | 49c | 1,117$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Vitality | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Vitality | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.12 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 989.46$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.12 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality | 50c | 981.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.14 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Vitality | 49c | 945.04$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 930.74$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.68 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 861.89$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Vitality | 49c | 804.47$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Vitality | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 769.23$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.43 | 1,177 | 48.2%567 W · 610 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Vitality | 50c | 677.38$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 664.57$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Vitality | 51c | 650$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 952 | 45.8%436 W · 516 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f2…d19cbacked Vitality | 49c | 608.8$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Vitality | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Vitality | 47c | 534$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Vitality | 49c | 529.7$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Vitality | 49c | 504.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 464 | 43.1%200 W · 264 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 502.42$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.48 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Vitality | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 777 | 47.7%371 W · 406 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Vitality | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Vitality | 52c | 491.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…869abacked Vitality | 49c | 478.79$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed Vitality | 50c | 471.8$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.9 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…f72fbacked Vitality | 53c | 469$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 441$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.09 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Vitality | 60c | 430$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Vitality | 53c | 416.62$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Vitality | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Vitality | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 396.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 393.7$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Vitality | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Vitality | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Vitality | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality | 49c | 355.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 499 | 45.9%229 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 340$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 338.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Vitality | 49c | 335.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Vitality | 57c | 329.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Vitality | 56c | 323.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 320$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vitality | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Vitality | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Vitality | 52c | 295.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Vitality | 47c | 294$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 292.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Vitality | 49c | 286.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Vitality | 53c | 285.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 282.62$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 275 | 53.1%146 W · 129 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…871fbacked Vitality | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…3918backed Vitality | 51c | 266.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 459 | 44.2%203 W · 256 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed Vitality | 50c | 245.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Vitality | 49c | 228.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.