TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac42…60d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT7626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.48
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$524.4
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.52
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.26
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Seasonbacked ZeroZone Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$73
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UB Alma Mater (+1.5)backed UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.15
LoL: EKO Esports vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked EKO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.88
Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Arneb (+1.5)backed Arneb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+638.3%+$1,314.59
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.16
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$924.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$270.25
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$545.2
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.29
Game Handicap: 7REX (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming Academy (+1.5)backed paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$41.35
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX - Game 1 Winnerbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$103.57
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+589.8%+$856.99
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.83
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.76
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.91
Game Handicap: BGT (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)backed BoostGate Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.44
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$72.77
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.16
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.36
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,162.42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,816.76
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$4,460.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,657Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+211.9%+$7,746.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$350.55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.25
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$138.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+304.5%+$1,164.52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.08
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81%+$3,309.73
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,800.59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$1,634.69
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$26.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$347.8
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$122
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.07
Counter-Strike: Vexa vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$197.48
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$707.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.73
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.15
Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Project 91 (+1.5)backed SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group Abacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.31
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.19
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$564.87
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.69
Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Project 91 (+1.5)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.75
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.16
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 2 Winnerbacked 5star · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$28.05
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.51
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Abacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)backed Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$765.05
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+790%+$3,308.72
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,760.91
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,725.96
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$379.42
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$535.24
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.71
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,321.44
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$25.6
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+197.3%+$272.07
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$542.07
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$279.48
Valorant: DRX vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+186.4%+$271.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.76
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.57
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.56
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.71
Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs WIP Esports (+1.5)backed Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.85
Map Handicap: EG.A (-1.5) vs Division One (+1.5)backed Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.38
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$204.88
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.31
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$274.89
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.46
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+218.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+218.6%+$349.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.