TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$414,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed GamerLegion67c75,000$50,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,249.947363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Natus Vincere34c64,139$21,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,452.663857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed GamerLegion66c45,000$29,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,849.9841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion67c44,714$29,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,809.5183652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…189dbacked Natus Vincere33c42,666$14,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,527.381631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere34c35,040$11,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,076.876657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere35c23,515$8,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,33050254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere33c20,331$6,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,670.0421754.8%119 W · 98 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed GamerLegion65c20,007$13,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,023.3826256.1%147 W · 115 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed GamerLegion66c19,681$12,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,989.5321548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Natus Vincere33c17,000$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,3909248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9c5…1d81backed Natus Vincere33c14,853$4,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,951.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed GamerLegion67c14,179$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.6715947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Natus Vincere35c11,372$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,422.4325751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked GamerLegion65c10,209$6,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,685.5416245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere39c9,695$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.6633343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked GamerLegion62c9,235$5,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,728.8223245.7%106 W · 126 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Natus Vincere33c8,749$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,861.9934146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked GamerLegion61c8,437$5,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,146.825855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed GamerLegion67c7,486$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.689643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GamerLegion66c6,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked GamerLegion68c3,500$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.9621251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion67c3,010$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.5160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9918754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked GamerLegion68c2,911$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.6510635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed GamerLegion69c2,502$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.695444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Natus Vincere80c2,339$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+101.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Natus Vincere32c2,295$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.5925749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed GamerLegion68c2,068$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.0911947.9%57 W · 62 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Natus Vincere33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Natus Vincere34c2,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9916447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Natus Vincere32c2,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.9918846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked GamerLegion62c1,611$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.358324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked GamerLegion68c1,523$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.598351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed GamerLegion45c1,515$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.4420251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Natus Vincere32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02038051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Natus Vincere33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00519346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed GamerLegion67c1,500$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.991,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…f949backed Natus Vincere33c1,498$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.844452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed Natus Vincere33c1,353$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.924546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere37c1,321$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.0455736.3%202 W · 355 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e9…1010backed GamerLegion65c1,206$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.731030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-53.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed GamerLegion67c1,090$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Natus Vincere35c1,030$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Natus Vincere32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68030338.9%118 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GamerLegion67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.9946749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GamerLegion53c897.24$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.571,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked GamerLegion41c894.16$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.164555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Natus Vincere33c884.88$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8722940.2%92 W · 137 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1a…4706backed Natus Vincere44c790$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Natus Vincere34c730$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Natus Vincere33c690.91$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9110451.9%54 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere33c674.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere33c663.31$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.6163541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Natus Vincere50c629.49$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.75887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere35c627.83$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.162,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Natus Vincere18c610$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.767651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Natus Vincere33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40213252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed GamerLegion44c593.63$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6160143.1%259 W · 342 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed Natus Vincere59c591.9$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.565438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed GamerLegion67c550$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.511235.7%40 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef15…74dabacked Natus Vincere33c521.76$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.581643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Natus Vincere33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked GamerLegion67c484.58$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.971,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere52c483.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.111,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed GamerLegion59c478.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked GamerLegion48c472.81$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9511846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Natus Vincere33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5515363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Natus Vincere33c450$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.549245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked GamerLegion68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked GamerLegion46c439.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked GamerLegion66c417.31$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.429146.2%42 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3504…0131backed Natus Vincere33c415.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.663348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed GamerLegion55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Natus Vincere33c400$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2683857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed GamerLegion68c395$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.612538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked GamerLegion64c383.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0740655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d8…e2e8backed Natus Vincere33c378.79$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.794755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Natus Vincere33c327.33$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3148939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Natus Vincere32c318.2$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3538950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Natus Vincere33c318.18$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1829757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Natus Vincere37c310.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8810061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed Natus Vincere33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0336450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere55c302.76$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.2430748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Natus Vincere33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20115241.4%63 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645f…2c7fbacked Natus Vincere33c290.64$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.738854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed GamerLegion74c272$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.282665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked GamerLegion50c270.43$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2133839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Natus Vincere37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85ab…4dc5backed Natus Vincere38c254.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9713241.7%55 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Natus Vincere33c249.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4931933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere26c247.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0247347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion67c244$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.438848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere57c233.33$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3339157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Natus Vincere32c232.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7812041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere61c212.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.537,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed GamerLegion68c209.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7964058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere45c200.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6926147.1%123 W · 138 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Natus Vincere48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10530559.3%181 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.