TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, GamerLegion
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7df…5eeebacked GamerLegion37c20,823$7,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,674.2116245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion34c18,969$6,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,540.6983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere65c15,214$9,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,274.7450054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere65c14,601$9,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.6417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed GamerLegion37c12,697$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.7767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed GamerLegion37c11,560$4,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,330.2671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Natus Vincere65c9,900$6,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,42217853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed GamerLegion35c8,124$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.426450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GamerLegion36c5,687$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.2178639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b9…bdf4backed Natus Vincere64c5,247$3,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.886036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed GamerLegion34c4,635$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.0824233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed Natus Vincere68c4,580$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.324047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed GamerLegion32c3,943$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.674156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere67c3,730$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.2433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c4c…f869backed Natus Vincere68c3,401$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.312053.3%64 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed GamerLegion32c3,235$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.2436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Natus Vincere61c2,431$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.928540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Natus Vincere62c2,168$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.742240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion36c2,039$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.0460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Natus Vincere64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72018846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked GamerLegion33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Natus Vincere61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3413738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Natus Vincere62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.917460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Natus Vincere63c1,567$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.8116546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere61c1,553$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.6755738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Natus Vincere60c1,552$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.25887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+54.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Natus Vincere62c1,545$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.077441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Natus Vincere65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.464235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Natus Vincere66c1,516$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4419047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Natus Vincere65c1,506$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5279343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed GamerLegion39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GamerLegion35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfbc…dcdbbacked GamerLegion35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Natus Vincere65c1,333$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.5512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Natus Vincere65c1,250$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere65c1,084$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3136450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere61c931.53$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere64c888$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.681,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Natus Vincere62c887.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.110851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Natus Vincere64c823.63$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6333354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Natus Vincere61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6720958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Natus Vincere61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31213252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Natus Vincere65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28048845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Natus Vincere61c775.41$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8562…0a61backed Natus Vincere62c743.55$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Natus Vincere63c712.87$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.872871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Natus Vincere67c659.43$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4818061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Natus Vincere61c640$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Natus Vincere64c620$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.229052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere64c618.75$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7539157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Natus Vincere61c612.53$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.8911753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed GamerLegion35c599.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21049935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Natus Vincere65c562.47$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.8638454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Natus Vincere62c550$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20944343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Natus Vincere66c530.3$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.314856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed GamerLegion37c513.51$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011048.2%53 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed GamerLegion39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Natus Vincere65c500$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17630259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed GamerLegion41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…0131backed Natus Vincere63c473.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.793348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked GamerLegion34c458.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Natus Vincere61c435.2$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7313051.5%67 W · 63 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Natus Vincere68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1286960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Natus Vincere66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13640558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Natus Vincere64c392.13$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1715363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Natus Vincere66c380.18$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2635466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Natus Vincere61c368.85$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8511646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc6…8704backed Natus Vincere61c328.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.072268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5850050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed GamerLegion34c311.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere63c308.08$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.85,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Natus Vincere62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11425143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere62c275.53$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5321263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed GamerLegion37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014851.4%76 W · 72 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion34c269.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed Natus Vincere66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510040%40 W · 60 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Natus Vincere62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9413059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e3…35dcbacked Natus Vincere68c221.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0aa6…1b56backed Natus Vincere61c206.69$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.612157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Natus Vincere62c202.3$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8715857.6%91 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Natus Vincere65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708853.4%47 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Natus Vincere64c195.31$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3129757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Natus Vincere70c187.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2235861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere65c185$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.551,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5424…f10dbacked Natus Vincere62c171.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Natus Vincere66c152$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Natus Vincere66c151.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8433156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed GamerLegion16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Natus Vincere67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2523757%135 W · 102 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…f58fbacked Natus Vincere63c149.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed GamerLegion34c139.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.662538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere70c125.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.67,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Natus Vincere64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.212260.7%74 W · 48 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c78…b145backed Natus Vincere63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4238…3734backed GamerLegion34c116.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013445.5%61 W · 73 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Natus Vincere61c106.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5642757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Natus Vincere68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9438452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5f…1ea7backed Natus Vincere67c101.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.446258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.