TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cbc…b637

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,043
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: WNBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT62538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 625 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$70.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$44.2
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.54
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.16
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$53.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.2
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$106.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.2
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.2
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.8
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Showing 25 of 625 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT17331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$142.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$56.4
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.2
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.9
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$51.9
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.31
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$84
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$41.4
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.4
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11846.6%55 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.2
PARIVISION to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$35.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.5
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Poor Rangers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.3
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.19
Dota 2: Stray Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Bbacked Daxak Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$132.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94%+$145.4
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$111.79
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$96.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.9
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$212.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.23
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$132.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$101.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.49
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.9
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5234.6%18 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.59
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.03
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.42
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.6
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.4
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$52
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$91.22
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.8
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Eduardo Chapolin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.24
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bruno Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Rizvan Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$50.6
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Valter Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mike Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.7
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$70.3
UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Abubakar Vagaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$44.39
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.59
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+98%+$89.09
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$81.6
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Mario Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$91.2
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Nikita Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+102%+$257.5
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$26.4
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.6
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$46.2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.8
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$114
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$43.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+190.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+300%+$56.25
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$116.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.