Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a2e142a352a2c83f7adfabe0b1863f703ebfc489046c9ed110768be86c1c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 57c | 90,739$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 35,912$14,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,247.8 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 23,459$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,034.33 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…ac04backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 18,227$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,411.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 13,490$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,397.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 55c | 13,044$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,174.13 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 13,004$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 10,007$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,101.51 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 9,504$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.71 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 9,130$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.22 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 42c | 7,790$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.63 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 6,797$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.67 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 5,892$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.75 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 59c | 5,890$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.48 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 52c | 5,729$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 5,148$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 76c | 5,120$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.54 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 4,934$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.8 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 42c | 4,770$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.25 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 4,711$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.94 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 71c | 4,553$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.5 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 62c | 4,314$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.74 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 51c | 3,908$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 3,689$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.05 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Aurora | 52c | 3,685$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 79c | 3,539$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.28 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 3,507$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 3,401$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.26 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,239$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.24 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked Aurora | 32c | 3,162$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 3,002$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.02 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Aurora | 33c | 2,872$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.46 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,759$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 80c | 2,546$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 79c | 2,491$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.92 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 2,469$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.08 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 22c | 2,300$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Aurora | 59c | 2,282$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.79 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora | 79c | 2,276$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 34c | 2,266$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.63 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 43c | 2,215$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.97 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 46c | 2,209$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.67 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Aurora | 1c | 2,039$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Aurora | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 28c | 1,951$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.71 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,881$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.98 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 55c | 1,790$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,714$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.29 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,682$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.06 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,678$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.03 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 1,637$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.92 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Aurora | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,501$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.66 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Aurora | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Aurora | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Aurora | 33c | 1,500$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.47 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 1,475$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.06 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,392$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.5 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,363$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.57 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Aurora | 1c | 1,336$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 60c | 1,292$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.28 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Aurora | 61c | 1,285$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,279$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.71 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,259$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,230$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.3 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,221$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 1,220$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.12 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd867…03fabacked Aurora | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,046$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.61 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,033$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.04 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Aurora | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 899.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 889.23$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.76 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 831.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.18 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 800$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.94 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Aurora | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Aurora | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 799.3$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.48 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 38c | 791.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 765.48$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.63 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 47c | 758.9$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 735.16$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.89 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Aurora | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 697.29$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…7cd2backed Aurora | 33c | 675.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 53c | 674.11$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.28 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Aurora | 51c | 655$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 649.51$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…75f9backed Aurora | 31c | 645.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 640.02$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.03 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 612.52$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.76 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Aurora | 66c | 594.45$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.51 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.