Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cc212060e727f4a4ca65dddcd46c2831c0bead20be98be56605dbbb6e78c2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $830,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $920,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 59c | 39,838$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,338.5 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 63c | 24,250$15,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.5 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 23,411$8,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,427.86 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 22,887$10,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,364.83 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 20,300$8,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,496.97 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 19,014$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.61 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Tundra Esports | 21c | 17,624$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.17 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Aurora | 65c | 17,570$11,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.25 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 17,430$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.08 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 15,951$6,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,043.79 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 13,068$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.9 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 12,244$5,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.08 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 11,111$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.45 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 73c | 10,053$7,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.93 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Aurora | 66c | 9,999$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.83 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Aurora | 64c | 9,122$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.11 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 8,734$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.44 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora | 64c | 8,502$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 8,321$5,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.32 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 8,115$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.74 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 60c | 7,750$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.49 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 7,656$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 7,321$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.44 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 6,000$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.97 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…8366backed Aurora | 47c | 5,958$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 5,952$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.23 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 59c | 5,460$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.89 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Aurora | 62c | 5,200$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 5,044$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.89 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Aurora | 60c | 4,682$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.41 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 4,590$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.61 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 4,500$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.39 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 4,397$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.15 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 4,193$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.98 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 4,066$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.09 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f2…89a3backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 4,000$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 65c | 3,551$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.64 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 3,459$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.31 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 58c | 3,456$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 64c | 3,288$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.36 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 3,140$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.37 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Aurora | 80c | 3,128$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 64c | 3,120$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.14 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Aurora | 65c | 3,080$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Aurora | 66c | 3,050$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.92 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 66c | 2,984$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.8 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Aurora | 58c | 2,797$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.6 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Aurora | 33c | 2,790$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,734$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.1 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 2,707$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.27 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…c1dbbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,706$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 2,695$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.75 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Aurora | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.75 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 32c | 2,500$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.51 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Aurora | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 2,479$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Aurora | 53c | 2,350$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.17 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,350$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.09 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 68c | 2,307$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.48 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,263$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.89 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,253$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.29 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 2,250$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 52c | 2,205$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.65 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,200$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.9 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 2,142$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.66 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 31c | 2,100$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.84 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 69c | 2,072$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.74 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 52c | 2,067$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Aurora | 41c | 2,036$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 2,020$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.15 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,012$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.61 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 2,000$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.23 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.96 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 1,950$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 63c | 1,872$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.03 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 61c | 1,861$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.26 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,854$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Aurora | 65c | 1,829$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,796$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Aurora | 63c | 1,755$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.74 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 1,750$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.41 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 61c | 1,750$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.03 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Aurora | 57c | 1,742$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.11 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,731$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Aurora | 61c | 1,691$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.28 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora | 67c | 1,682$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.56 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 1,662$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.12 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Aurora | 67c | 1,652$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.46 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f4…bb20backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 1,629$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Aurora | 62c | 1,622$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora | 62c | 1,592$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.01 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tundra Esports | 20c | 1,584$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.05 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora | 59c | 1,531$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.44 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…1622backed Aurora | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.