Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c73f21ee0cddca776a06cd78d0bd05a1483ca3589c1cfc3698da7802f44003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 60c | 45,095$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,094.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 44,847$17,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,929.26 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 60c | 31,592$19,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,493.73 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 27,663$9,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,863.45 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 64c | 22,898$14,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,280.24 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 21,533$8,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,041.2 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 60c | 18,959$11,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.94 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 63c | 16,184$10,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.75 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 12,502$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.43 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 62c | 11,689$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.86 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 10,152$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.45 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 10,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 69c | 9,419$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.37 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 8,579$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.14 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 65c | 8,526$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.09 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 7,325$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.72 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 7,086$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.87 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 5,705$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.99 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 5,203$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 4,722$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 4,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.87 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 64c | 4,263$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.68 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 3,505$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.96 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 64c | 3,269$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.84 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 61c | 3,222$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.58 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 80c | 3,129$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.97 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 3,118$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.94 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 2,919$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.15 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 60c | 2,742$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.66 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,550$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.16 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 2,527$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,500$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.64 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 2,466$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 2,445$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 65c | 2,300$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Aurora | 67c | 2,257$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.73 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Aurora | 65c | 2,243$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 20c | 2,098$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 75c | 2,019$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.82 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Aurora | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 1,847$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.71 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,834$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.77 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Tundra Esports | 5c | 1,763$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tundra Esports | 21c | 1,637$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.48 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,610$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.8 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Aurora | 62c | 1,606$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.42 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 1,551$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Tundra Esports | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,434$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.65 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…d4adbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,282$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,272$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…518abacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,240$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 1,222$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,207$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.8 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 1,164$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.8 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Aurora | 78c | 1,152$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.35 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 1,120$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 1,114$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 1,111$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.07 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 66c | 1,096$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 68c | 1,056$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.69 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 1,055$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,012$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.51 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Aurora | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Tundra Esports | 15c | 997.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 66c | 989$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 22c | 978.32$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 899.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Aurora | 63c | 882.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.52 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 61c | 840$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tundra Esports | 27c | 816.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Aurora | 60c | 801.93$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.92 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 800$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.21 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 59c | 797.29$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.89 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 784.54$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 714.39$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 699.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Tundra Esports | 7c | 660.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 57c | 642.61$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Tundra Esports | 19c | 630$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…0465backed Aurora | 64c | 606.07$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 552.63$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f4…bb20backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 502.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Aurora | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.