TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab71…2ada

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT5952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,400.96
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,480.07
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$4,394.77
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winnerbacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$2,402.11
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$5,472.36
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$1,170.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,902Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$4,601.29
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,950.38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$623.46
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$750.53
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$2,506.53
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+192.1%+$1,853.42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$944
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,894.47
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,675.84
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,793.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,822Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$9,789.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,882Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$2,259.57
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.14
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,145.45
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$339.64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.33
Dota 2: Stray Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Bbacked Stray Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$263.16
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$139.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$265.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$201
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+119.9%+$473.54
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$678.94
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.64
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.88
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.43
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$137.31
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.55
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+713.2%+$2,852.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,322.78
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,386.78
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.51
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$840.22
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$943.71
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$829.86
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$1,042.73
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$1,029.97
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.98
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$599
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$539.19
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.01
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,110.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$506.5
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,962Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$3,656.8
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.91
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$396.39
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$546.97
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.