CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67aec1b473131fd72090c048663bff6b8c0c5dceb025f9f08f7477b4707b4292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked TDK | 46c | 25,680$11,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,989.22 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 20,856$11,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,235.01 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 8,849$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515.17 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked TDK | 44c | 4,507$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.53 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 3,411$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.03 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 2,373$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.85 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed TDK | 70c | 2,142$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.25 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 2,000$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.79 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 52c | 1,653$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.82 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,463$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.66 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked TDK | 53c | 1,462$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.31 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,421$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TDK | 53c | 1,343$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.6 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 57c | 1,270$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 1,042$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.41 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed TDK | 54c | 970.55$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.93 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 900.3$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked TDK | 52c | 861.58$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.01 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 819.45$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 700.2$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 57c | 681.22$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed TDK | 48c | 621.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.73 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed TDK | 31c | 610$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.9 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 582.67$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.38 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked TDK | 46c | 519.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.79 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 504.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 438.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 431.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…c36cbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 422.14$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 55c | 400$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked TDK | 49c | 382.64$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 378.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed TDK | 36c | 356$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TDK | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked TDK | 28c | 314.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed TDK | 49c | 280.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 266.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed TDK | 62c | 244.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked TDK | 39c | 233.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed TDK | 58c | 230.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.83 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 201.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.71 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed TDK | 38c | 195.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 190$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 100 Thieves | 8c | 164$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked TDK | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed TDK | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TDK | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked TDK | 54c | 139.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked TDK | 55c | 136.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked TDK | 64c | 136.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 135.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…e0a3backed TDK | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 125.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked TDK | 70c | 120.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed TDK | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed TDK | 48c | 114.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 111$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 108.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 100.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed TDK | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed TDK | 43c | 97.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 96.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 95.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 94.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed TDK | 47c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed TDK | 57c | 88.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed 100 Thieves | 75c | 85.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed TDK | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc044…5fb8backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 72.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 70.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 67.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed TDK | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked TDK | 41c | 60.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 42c | 57.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed TDK | 47c | 56.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed TDK | 47c | 56.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 55.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed TDK | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed TDK | 54c | 51.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked TDK | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked TDK | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked TDK | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 46.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed TDK | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…0becbacked TDK | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…d140backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 44.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 44.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed TDK | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…a2a4backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 39.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.