CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb78af4b48d231c5d8226759a84b2c97f2284efde023905a2422e818078b8376c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof 100 Thieves, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 71c | 2,947$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 1,555$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.44 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 1,510$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.45 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TDK | 65c | 1,000$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.69 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 62c | 1,000$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 65c | 1,000$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 936.26$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 619.69$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.32 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 342.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TDK | 71c | 252.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed TDK | 72c | 201.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 195.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TDK | 73c | 194.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 149.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 106.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 104.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 94.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed TDK | 73c | 80.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 64.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 63.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 54.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed TDK | 73c | 52.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…2c7fbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 47.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed TDK | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 38.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…4118backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed TDK | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 72c | 26.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed TDK | 71c | 22.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked TDK | 74c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.