TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c9e…2c7f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
21
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: University War vs 9z Team (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Playoffsbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.02
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Dbacked Team Liquid Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$77.61
Valorant: ARETE vs So:sweet - Map 2 Winnerbacked So:sweet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked KRÜ Spark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.32
Valorant: OXEN vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked Leviatán Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$91.76
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.