Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c409f6e30b9fed792dced3d1aadce5d2772b59474a95b88345ff0b260f53e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRÜ Sparkof University War, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KRÜ Spark | 68c | 667.57$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked University War | 44c | 321.92$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.04 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked University War | 48c | 275.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked KRÜ Spark | 51c | 211.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…2c7fbacked University War | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked University War | 18c | 194.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1493…105ebacked KRÜ Spark | 54c | 183.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KRÜ Spark | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed KRÜ Spark | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed University War | 46c | 146$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked KRÜ Spark | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed University War | 46c | 143.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KRÜ Spark | 52c | 142.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed University War | 45c | 140.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked University War | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed University War | 32c | 112.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked University War | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked University War | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed University War | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed KRÜ Spark | 52c | 95.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked University War | 46c | 76.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed KRÜ Spark | 56c | 71.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed University War | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed University War | 48c | 68.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed University War | 43c | 65.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed KRÜ Spark | 69c | 48.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed KRÜ Spark | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed University War | 44c | 46.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed University War | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed KRÜ Spark | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed KRÜ Spark | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed University War | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed University War | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…7510backed KRÜ Spark | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…cff0backed KRÜ Spark | 56c | 22.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed KRÜ Spark | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
- Valorant: University War vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 WinnerKRÜ Spark won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.