CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9229be86182a2da05c5b9b7c17e7ce492059e8173c9a5d35bed6377919f5082e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked TDK | 50c | 7,758$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.06 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 6,893$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.84 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 3,568$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.65 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed TDK | 41c | 3,222$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.01 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 3,083$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 2,993$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.22 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 2,457$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.67 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TDK | 43c | 2,445$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.81 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked TDK | 39c | 2,278$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked TDK | 43c | 2,127$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.48 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 2,000$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.46 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,978$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.9 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 47c | 1,911$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.52 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed TDK | 31c | 1,605$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.18 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 47c | 1,467$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.59 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 51c | 1,451$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.59 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,420$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.34 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TDK | 37c | 1,333$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.78 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 34c | 1,253$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.4 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked TDK | 38c | 1,211$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.53 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked TDK | 33c | 1,124$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.76 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked TDK | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.04 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TDK | 40c | 1,048$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.54 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 1,021$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.9 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 31c | 807.09$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.19 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 732.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 53c | 674.37$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.32 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 647.83$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked TDK | 38c | 526.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.89 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…78c2backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 499.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 493.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed TDK | 36c | 492.41$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 455.65$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 453.35$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…c36cbacked TDK | 48c | 453.21$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TDK | 44c | 451.65$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed TDK | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 410.36$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.53 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 404.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed TDK | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed TDK | 35c | 391$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 368.01$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 366.12$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.03 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 352.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.17 | 320 | 47.2%151 W · 169 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 323.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 321.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 605 | 40%242 W · 363 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked TDK | 59c | 307.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b217backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 304.44$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 298.4$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 289$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed TDK | 40c | 274.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.49 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 268.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked TDK | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed TDK | 44c | 259.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 250.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed TDK | 37c | 240.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 227.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 225$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 215.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed TDK | 59c | 210.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed TDK | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…5282backed TDK | 27c | 199.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked TDK | 39c | 196$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed TDK | 35c | 193.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 58c | 187.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TDK | 48c | 182.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 176.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 175.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 170.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 159.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 157.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…e0a3backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…9ea8backed TDK | 35c | 151.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked TDK | 36c | 147.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 141.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 140.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…2c7fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 136.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 131.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 128.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 124$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 120.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed TDK | 43c | 117.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 301 | 39.5%119 W · 182 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked TDK | 35c | 117$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked TDK | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…58dabacked TDK | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 99.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 97.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed TDK | 14c | 92.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 90.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed TDK | 34c | 86.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked TDK | 22c | 85.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)TDK won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.